Workshop 2 on Financial | Bài báo cáo cuối kì học phần Finance - Banking | Trường Đại học Quốc tế, Đại học Quốc gia Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh

VIETNAM NATIONAL UNIVERSITY HO CHI MINH CITY
INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF BUSINESS
Workshop 2 on Financial FINAL REPORT
Name of student: Le Duc Hieu Student ID:
BABAIU21396 Lecturer: Mr. Vo Khanh Thien
Semester 2nd of 2023 - 2024 Ho Chi Minh City, May 2024 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS
I. QUESTIONS: ................................................................................................................... 2
II. ANSWER: ......................................................................................................................... 3
Question 1: ......................................................................................................................... 3
Question 2.1: ...................................................................................................................... 6
Question 2.2: ...................................................................................................................... 7
Question 2.3: ...................................................................................................................... 8
Question 3.1: ...................................................................................................................... 8
Question 3.2: ...................................................................................................................... 9
III. REFERENCES ............................................................................................................ 10 I. QUESTIONS: 1. Credit rating:
- Why is credit rating applied but bad debts continue to increase in commercial banks? 2. IPO:
- Analyze the role of Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs) in IPO. What are
the potential risks associated with using this structure. Is an IPO a way to make a company wealthy?
3. CBDC and stable coin:
- Central Bank Digital Currency is a regulatory solution to the threats posed by private
stablecoin? Is stablecoin an essential element in cryptocurrency transactions? 2 II. ANSWER: Question 1: -
Credit ratings are assessments of a borrower's creditworthiness. Commercial banks
and lenders use this tool to assess the risk of lending to a certain individual or business.
The CIC tool is used by banks and financial organizations to assess consumers'
reputation and ability to repay debt through loan history. It collects, stores, analyzes, and
forecasts Vietnamese citizens" and businesses' credit information. From there, CIC helps
banks and credit institutions reduce loan and credit management risks. -
Bad debts, also known as non-performing loans, are loans in which the borrower has
fallen behind on payments or is unlikely to repay the entire amount own.
Despite the usage of credit ratings, bad debts continue to rise in many commercial
banks due to the following reasons:
Firstly, economic fluctuations is reason that significantly impact borrowers’
ability to repay loans. In Vietnam, periods of economic slowdown or external economic
shocks, such as the global financial crisis of 2008-2009 and the COVID-19 pandemic,
have led to increased unemployment and reduced business activity. These conditions
can make it difficult for even creditworthy borrowers to meet their debt obligations,
leading to a rise in bad debts. Image: 1 – Source: VnDirect
Image 1 suggested that, with a significant increase in bad debt ratios and the combined ratio of
bad debts and debts more than 90 days old following the COVID-19 pandemic. Prior to the pandemic, 3
these ratios hovered around 2-3%, but starting from Q1 2020, they began to rise sharply, reaching a peak
of over 4.5% for the combined ratio in Q2 2022.
Secondly, fraud and misrepresentating of business financial health with the
bank usually happens when borrowers may intentionally misrepresent their financial
situation or engage in dishonest activities to obtain loans they cannot repay. Credit
ratings and bank due diligence may not uncover such fraudulent activities.
The case of SCB bank illegally lending to Van Thinh Phat Group is also notable. Using
sophisticated techniques such as falsifying loan documents and including inadequate legal collateral,
Van Thinh Phat's group made more than 1,284 loans, with an outstanding debt at SCB of more than 677
trillion VND (nearly 484 trillion VND in principle, more than 193 trillion VND in interest), which cannot be recovered.
Also, commercial banks may compromise lending regulations to boost loan
portfolios and credit growth rates. This can involve lowering the minimum requirements
for factors like borrower creditworthiness, collateral coverage, debt service capacity,
and other risk metrics typically used to evaluate loan applications. Extending loans to
riskier borrowers may increase bad debt levels. 4
Image 2: - Source: VietstockFinance
It can be seen that all banks have very high positive credit growth. The strongest credit growth
is MB (MBB, +33%), followed by HDBank (HDB, +30%), VPBank (VPB, +29%) and Vietbank (VBB,
+27%). Along with that, we can see that 26/28 banks have a bad debt ratio above 1%.
Furthermore, credit rating models sometimes fail to predict defaults accurately.
In Vietnam, the credit rating system might not fully account for the informal economy,
which constitutes a significant part of the national economy. Many small and
mediumsized enterprises (SMEs) operate with informal financial practices, making it
challenging for credit models to assess their true creditworthiness. Consequently, these
models may overestimate the repayment capacity of certain borrowers, leading to unexpected defaults.
Lastly, interest rate fluctuations can also impact borrowers' ability to repay
loans. In Vietnam, fluctuations in interest rates have sometimes made it harder for
businesses and individuals to service their debts. For instance, when the State Bank of
Vietnam adjusts interest rates to control inflation or stabilize the currency, borrowers
with variable-rate loans may face increased repayment burdens, leading to higher default rates. 5 Question 2.1: -
IPO: A corporation can go public by issuing shares in an initial public offering
(IPO), following which its shares typically trade on an exchange. After being listed on an
exchange, shareholders can sell their shares and new investors can purchase shares
without having direct interaction with the company. -
SPAC: A special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) is a corporate entity
established to purchase a private company in the future. The Special Purpose Acquisition
Company (SPAC) generates funds through an Initial Public Offering (IPO) and places the
money in a trust, which it is obligated to use for acquiring a company within a specified
timeframe. There is no requirement to disclose the identity of the acquired firm during the
IPO. SPACs are also referred to as blank check companies for this reason. Diagram 1 – Self-draw
At the beginning, the sponsor, usually an experienced executive/investor or team,
launches a SPAC. A SPAC's investment strategy is usually a sector and geographyfocused
one, like North American education technology business acquisition.
Second, they form a holding company and IPO. The sponsor then conducts a
roadshow to attract institutional investors.
The sponsor invests nominal capital, often resulting in ~20% founder shares in the
SPAC. The remaining ~80% interest is held by public stockholders through SPAC share
“units” offered in an IPO.
After an IPO, profits are placed in a trust account and the SPAC has 18–24 months
to find and merge with a target firm, known as de-SPACing.
After a target business is chosen and a merger disclosed, SPAC public shareholders can
vote against the deal and redeem their shares. After shareholder approval and regulatory
clearance, the SPAC transaction will close, and the target company will go public.
However, if the SPAC fails to combine within that timeframe, it will liquidate and
return the IPO proceeds to public shareholders. 6
The role of SPAC in IPO process:
In short, a SPAC is a shell business formed by investors only for the aim of
obtaining funds via an IPO in order to eventually acquire another company.
To begin, an IPO through SPAC saves business time: This faster IPO process
appeals to many companies since it avoids the time-consuming. A private company can
complete the SPAC business combination procedure in as little as 2 months, whereas a
standard IPO can take up to 9-12 months.
Second, corporations can avoid the uncertainty and volatility that occurred
throughout the IPO approval stage. For example, during unpredictable and volatile times,
like the COVID-19 pandemic, the typical IPO process may expose private enterprises to
unfavorable market conditions, resulting in lower IPO pricing and less money raised.
SPACs, on the other hand, have already raised the requisite money and frequently have
access to more funds (via warrants and other stock), therefore the SPAC process may be
less affected by overall investor sentiment and market conditions.
Finally, SPAC acts as a lifeline for businesses that want to IPO on the US stock
exchange. Companies that are not attractive enough to investors or unicorns that want to
avoid strict rules on profits and capital regulations of stock exchanges. Question 2.2:
Despite offering a more efficient route to public markets, SPACs still carry a set of
risks that investors should be aware of:
Looseness of strict regulations during the post-IPO process of a stock: such as
lack of post-IPO price stabilization can cause the price of shares to go public through a
SPAC to increase steeply in the first 4-5 days and decreased miserably after that time.
For example: the most recent and typical case is the case of Vinfast stock. After going
public by SPAC, this stock increased its value 8 times and peaked at the price range of $93/1 share
after turned around and dropped to the price range of $2.66/share (-92%)
Rapid and significant price changes require particular caution due to SPACs' lack
of information. Until a merger is finalized, price activity cannot be related to
fundamentals like earnings streams because they are cash aggregators. This is one reason
some SPACs have underperformed, and it emphasizes the need of sponsor and industry due diligence.
Failure to find a merger target could force a SPAC to collapse. If SPACs fail to
merge within two years, they liquidate, and investors receive their pro-rata part of the
SPAC's worth. Along with the inability of new SPACs to enter flooded markets, this risk
is rising. According to Bloomberg, $4 billion in deals were canceled in January 2022. 7
Finally, the future regulatory environment may cause new challenges. Over the
past year, speculative trading has increased, thus the SEC has focused more on SPACs.
SEC Chairman Gary Gensler has advocated for rule and disclosure changes that may
require existing corporations to undertake structural changes and change future deal
procedures. Some of this has affected the SPAC market. The SEC hinted at treating
warrants as liabilities rather than equities in an April 2021 report. That alone forced over
100 SPACs to restate financial accounts and halted new issuance. Question 2.3:
 YES, in terms of cash flow, an IPO is a way to make a company wealthy in cash
temporalily. But IPO is not a direct means of making a company "rich" in the conventional
sense of generating profits or revenue. The following are some arguments on this issue:
IPO fundraising allows a company to raise a substantial amount of cash by selling
shares to the public. This capital flow can be used for a variety of purposes, including
growing operations, investing in R&D, repaying debt, and funding other strategic initiatives.
Value and greater exposure: IPOs increase a company's public valuation and
market reputation. This higher pricing may help merger and acquisitions negotiation or
supplier and partner agreements. IPOs can also increase a company's visibility and product sales.
Access to capital markets: Once public, a company has easier access to capital
markets to raise funds in the future through secondary placement, debt issuance or other financial instruments.
In short, while an IPO does not directly make a company rich in terms of profits, it
does provide important capital and strategic advantages that can contribute to the
company's growth and long-term financial health of the company. Question 3.1:
- Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies attached to a stable asset, usually a fiat currency like
the US dollar, to reduce price volatility. Stablecoins aim to provide digital currency
benefits without the price volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Based on the definitions provided above, it can be seen that private stable coins will be
collateralized by an asset (usually USD). However, risks often occur when:
Over-collateralization risk: If stablecoin collateral lowers dramatically, it may
not cover the value of the outstanding stablecoins, causing a confidence crisis.
Trust and centralization: USDT and USDC stablecoins guarantee to back each
token with a genuine US dollar. These reserves are generally maintained centrally, raising
questions regarding transparency and verifiability. 8
Regulatory risks: Currently, the transparency of stable coins is still noteworthy,
so the strict legal environment in the future will somewhat threaten the 1:1 ratio.
Smart contract failures: Smart contracts determine algorithmic stablecoin
efficiency and security. Exploiting a smart contract issue could compromise the stability mechanism and the peg.
- CBDCs are issued and regulated by a nation's central bank. CBDCs are centralized and
operate on a permissioned blockchain, meaning the central bank controls access, unlike
cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH).
 Based on the recent analysis, we can see that central banks researching and using
CBDC will be a potential solution to risks associated with private stable coins for the following reasons:
Issuer and supervisory authority: the fact that CBDC is issued at the Central
Bank demonstrates transparency and is highly legally binding.
Stable mechanism, solid collateral: unlike private stable coins, which are backed
up by fiat assets or USD coins deposited in banks (centralized management). The safety
of CBDC can be said to be very high, because they are backed by the sovereign and issuing government.
Regulation and compliance: Unlike stable coins that are not clearly regulated and
bound by law, CBDCs are directly governed by Government monetary policies and are
subject to the same laws and restrictions. Question 3.2:
 YES, stablecoins play a crucial role in the cryptocurrency ecosystem due to their
stability. Although they were born after other cryptocurrencies such as BTC, ETH, etc.,
the importance of stable coins is increasing as they provide stability in cryptocurrency transactions. 9
Image 3 – Source: Nic carter | Coinmetrics
There are five main viewpoints given to discuss the importance of stable coins in
cryptocurrency trading, these viewpoints are all based on the stability that this currency
brings to crypto traders in a volatile environment.
Firstly, its Stability and Reduced Volatility, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and
Ethereum are known for their price volatility. Stablecoins, anchored to stable assets like
the US dollar, provide a stable medium of exchange, which helps in mitigating the risk
associated with price fluctuations.
Efficient Trading is another reason, on cryptocurrency exchanges, stablecoins
serve as a stable trading partner against other volatile cryptocurrencies. This facilitates
smoother and more predictable trading experiences.
Cross-Border Transactions: stablecoins enable quicker and affordable
crossborder transactions compared to traditional banking systems. This is particularly
beneficial for remittances and international trade.
Finally, stablecoins function as an intermediary between fiat currencies and
cryptocurrencies for many consumers. Users can convert their fiat money to stablecoins,
which can then be used to trade other cryptocurrencies, and vice versa.
Through the 5 reasons mentioned above, I once again reaffirm the importance of
stable coins in crypto transactions. Although cryptocurrencies can still be traded without
the presence of a stable coin, the advantages it brings include: stability, efficiency, and
usability which are extremely important in crypto trading. III. REFERENCES Ways to improve stream water quality | NIWA. (n.d.).
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Thời Sự Kinh Tế 24h Mới Nhất. https://kinhtedothi.vn/no-xau-ngan-hang-dong-loattang.html
V. (2023, December 27). Bad debt remains big concern for banking system in 2024. Vietnam+ (VietnamPlus).
https://en.vietnamplus.vn/bad-debt-remains-big-concern-for-banking- systemin2024-post275457.vnp
V. (2024, February 26). | Vietstock. Vietstock. https://vietstock.vn/2024/02/ty-le-no-xau-ngan-
hang-lap-dinh-moi-lam-the-nao-xuly757-1157500.htm
How SPAC mergers work. (n.d.). https://www.holoniq.com/notes/how-spac-mergers-work SPACs: Risks to keep in mind | Vanguard. (n.d.).
https://investor.vanguard.com/investorresources-education/article/spacs-risks-to-keep-in-mind
Treasurer, G. (2024, May 7). Are Cryptoinvestments, Cryptocurrencies and Stablecoin About to
Change the Way we do Payments? - The Global Treasurer. The Global Treasurer.
https://www.theglobaltreasurer.com/2024/05/07/are-cryptoinvestments-
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