EXPLORING THE
RIGHT LOGISTICS
STRATEGY FOR
CHINA-U.S. B2C
CROSS-BORDER
E-COMMERCE
white paper | march 2023
2 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
Executive Summary 4
Introduction 5
Cross-Border E-commerce in China 6
Market Overview 6
Key Sales Channels 7
Cross-Border E-commerce in the U.S. 9
Market Overview 9
Key Sales Channels 10
Logistics Models 12
Business-to-Consumer / Direct Shipping 12
Business-to-Business-to-Consumer 13
Comparison of Logistics Models 14
Cross-Border Shipping Alternatives 16
Postal Service Providers 16
Express Logistics Providers 17
Freight Forwarders and Consolidators 17
Logistics Arms of E-commerce Platforms 18
Logistics Flows 20
Postal Service Providers 20
Express Logistics Providers 21
Freight Forwarders and Consolidators 22
E-commerce Platforms: Amazon (China-to-U.S.) 24
E-commerce Platforms: Alibaba/Cainiao (U.S.-to-China) 26
Trends in CBEC Logistics 29
Expansion of Service Offerings and Geographic Footprint 30
Increased Reliance on Air Freight 31
Investment in Technology and Digital Capabilities 32
Green-Shipping Initiatives 33
Selecting a Logistics Strategy 35
Familiarity with Target Market 36
Demand Characteristics 37
Product Characteristics 38
Detailed Analysis 39
Conclusion 40
3 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
AUTHORS
Barchi Gillai
Associate Director, Value Chain Innovation Initiative
Stanford Graduate School of Business
Email: barchi@stanford.edu
Hau L. Lee, Principal Investigator
Thoma Professor of Operations, Information and Technology
Faculty Co-Director, Value Chain Innovation Initiative
Stanford Graduate School of Business
RESEARCH ASSISTANTS
Caroline Yuandi Ling
MBA & Master of Science, Environment and Resources
Stanford University
Tony Lianfeng Shan
Master of Science, Management
Stanford University
Araya Sornwanee
Master of Science, Management Science and Engineering
Stanford University
ABOUT THE VALUE CHAIN INNOVATION INITIATIVE
The Value Chain Innovation Initiative brings
together academics, industry leaders and
practitioners to advance the theory and practice of
global value chain innovation through research and
knowledge dissemination.
Housed within the Graduate School of Business
at Stanford University, we seek to understand
the economic and social impacts of the global
dynamics and technologies that are reshaping
businesses, industries and ecosystems across the
value chain.
Our research and professional workshops focus on
addressing problems that are highly relevant to the
greater global business community, and cover a
broad range of topics including global supply chain
design in complex trade environments, responsible
supply chains, technological innovations and their
impact on value chains, and more.
Learn more at gsb.stanford.edu/vcii.
4 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Business-to-consumer (B2C) cross-border
e-commerce (CBEC) is the practice of consumers
purchasing goods directly from merchants located in
other countries.
Sound logistics services are critical for supporting
CBEC, given the importance consumers place on
such aspects of the shopping experience as shipping
times and costs, visibility to their goods while in
transit, and the availability of return services.
Given the importance of CBEC logistics services and
the complexity of fulfilling cross-border orders, we
offer in this paper an overview of the logistics options
available to cross-border merchants. We focus
specifically on the logistics alternatives supporting
trade between China and the U.S. two dominant
players in the global CBEC market.
At a high level, merchants can consider two logistics
models: business-to-consumer (B2C), also known
as direct-shipping, and business-to-business-to-
consumer (B2B2C). Merchants should also decide
whether to fulfill customer orders from their home
country, or from a fulfillment center located closer
to their customers. Each alternative offers a different
set of trade-offs between cost, risk, speed of delivery,
and overall customer satisfaction.
As for selecting the logistics provider(s) to partner
with for cross-border shipping, key alternatives
include postal service providers, express logistics
providers, freight forwarders and consolidators, as
well as the logistics arms of the larger e-commerce
companies. The paper offers a description of each
alternative, its pros and cons, and the scenarios under
which each alternative may be more relevant. We
also offer a detailed description of the logistics flows
associated with each of these shipping alternatives.
Finally, we also highlight in this paper some of
the ways in which the logistics landscape has
evolved in recent years and discuss how these
trends are helping to address some of the main
challenges sellers and buyers engaged in CBEC have
traditionally faced.
The last part of the paper lays out our
recommendations for how merchants should
approach the task of determining the right logistics
strategy for their specific business needs. Merchants
should base their decisions on a detailed analysis
that compares the expected costs, revenues, and
risk factors associated with each logistics alternative.
They should conduct this analysis while taking into
consideration such factors as their internal expertise
and familiarity with the target market, expected
demand patterns, and the characteristics of the
products that they sell.
5 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
INTRODUCTION
Business-to-consumer (B2C) cross-border
e-commerce (CBEC) is the practice of consumers
purchasing goods directly from merchants located
in other countries. Common ways for consumers
to engage in cross-border shopping is by ordering
goods directly from merchants own websites or
through online marketplaces.
In recent years online shoppers have become more
comfortable with cross-border shopping, leading
to a steady growth of the global CBEC market. Most
experts expect this trend to continue in the coming
years. According to one market report, the global
CBEC market is expected to expand at a compound
annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.4%, from $578.57
billion in 2019 to $2,248.57 billion by 2026.
1
Wed like
to caution, though, that with the world potentially
edging toward a global recession in 2023,
2
and with
the worlds largest economies already experiencing a
sharp slowdown, the global CBEC market may end up
expanding at a slower pace than initially anticipated.
As for the impact of COVID-19 on the market, while
early on the pandemic led to a significant increase
in online shopping, cross-border e-commerce
experienced slower growth compared to domestic
e-commerce markets. This can potentially be
attributed to a combination of growing support for
local retailers and disruptions to global supply chains.
Many cross-border orders are relatively small and
inexpensive, as is illustrated by the results of a global
cross-border shopper survey by the International
Post Corporation (IPC),
3
where 43% of orders
weighed up to 0.5 kg (1.1 lb) and a third of ordered
items were valued below 25 (about US$24.6
4
). Some
of the key reasons for shoppers to order goods from
other countries are the easy access to products and
brands that may not be available at their home
country, as well as the ability to purchase items at a
lower total cost compared to the prices charged at
local stores. At the same time, shipping and delivery
are important aspects of the shopping experience
and may impact the willingness of online shoppers
to purchase goods from foreign websites. The results
of a global survey by solution provider ESW illustrate
this point, with 27% of participants selecting long
shipping times and high shipping costs as the main
reasons for them to avoid buying cross-border.
5
In another global survey, about two thirds of
respondents wanted the option of free standard
shipping and identified delivery tracking and a clear
delivery time frame as motivators to buy more.
6
Given the importance and complexity of cross-
border shipping and delivery, we offer in this paper
an overview of the logistics options available
to merchants engaged in CBEC. We specifically
focus on the logistics solutions available to small
and medium-size companies, which represent a
large share of the CBEC market. We further offer
our observations of the evolution of the logistics
landscape in recent years and the way these changes
are alleviating some of the hurdles traditionally faced
by merchants and shoppers engaged in CBEC.
China and the U.S. are the two leading countries
in terms of the dollar value of their B2C cross-
border e-commerce exports.
7
Furthermore, a
1 Global Cross-Border E-commerce Market - Segment Analysis, Opportunity Assessment, Competitive Intelligence, Industry Outlook
2016-2026, All the Research, Feb. 2021.
2 Risk of Global Recession in 2023 Rises Amid Simultaneous Rate Hikes, The World Bank, Sept. 15, 2022.
3 Cross Border E-Commerce Shopper Survey 2021: Key Findings, , Jan. 2022.IPC
4 Based on Oct. 17, 2022 exchange rate.
5 Global Voices 2022, , accessed Oct. 17, 2022.ESW
6 Global Voices Pre-Peak Pulse 2021, ESW, Sept. 17, 2021.
7 Estimates of Global E-Commerce 2019 And Preliminary Assessment of Covid-19 Impact on Online Retail 2020, UNCTAD, accessed
Oct. 19, 2021.
6 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
significant portion of this global trade takes place
between these two countries, as indicated by
several consumer surveys. They point to China as
the foreign country most U.S. online consumers
shop from, and to the U.S. as one of the top three
countries Chinese shoppers buy from. Due to
8, 9
the high CBEC trade volume between the U.S. and
China, the paper focuses on the logistics flows
between these two countries.
CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE IN CHINA
KEY POINTS
Retail cross-border e-commerce has become increasingly popular in China.
Many of Chinas CBEC shoppers are relatively young, well educated, with medium to high income.
Only products on the Positive List can be imported into China through this channel.
Domestic and foreign e-commerce platforms are the most popular sales channels for CBEC.
The use of social platforms for CBEC has also been gaining momentum.
MARKET OVERVIEW
China is the worlds largest e-commerce market,
accounting in 2021 for more than a half (52.1%) of
total worldwide retail e-commerce sales.
10
China
also has the highest e-commerce penetration rate,
with 46.3% of the countrys retail sales taking place
online.
11
The market comprises two key segments,
domestic and cross-border e-commerce, with the
latter being the focus of this paper.
Retail CBEC has become increasingly popular in
China in recent years. This is due in part to the wide
selection of imported goods available, attractive
pricing, and the convenience of online shopping.
Another potential contributor is the rapid growth of
Chinas express delivery industry and its expansion
to smaller towns and more rural areas. According to
some estimates, the market reached a total of 483.74
billion Yuan ($76 billion
12
) in 2021,
13
with 280 million
buyers expected to make cross-border e-commerce
purchases in 2023.
14
We caution though that such
estimates vary widely across sources.
B2C cross-border e-commerce is viewed in China
as an important force that stabilizes the countrys
foreign trade.
15
Because of that, China has
implemented over the years a series of policies
designed to improve the regulation of CBEC retail
imports and promote the development of this
8 Cross Border E-Commerce Shopper Survey 2021, , Jan. 2022.IPC
9 The Great Pivot in Global eCommerce: Borderless Commerce Report 2021, PayPal, accessed Oct. 17, 2022.
10 Top 10 Countries, Ranked by Retail Ecommerce Sales Share, 2021, Insider Intelligence, May 2021.
11 Top 10 Countries, Ranked by Retail Ecommerce Share of Total Retail Sales, 2022, Insider Intelligence, Jan. 2022.
12 Based on the Chinese Yuan to US Dollar spot exchange rates on Dec. 31, 2021, ExchangeRates.org.uk, accessed Feb. 1, 2023.
13 Market Size of Cross-Border E-Commerce Retail Imports in China from 2016 to 2021, Statista, March 2022.
14 Cross-Border Retail eCommerce Buyers, by Country, Insider Intelligence, Jan. 2023.
15 China Remains Worlds Largest B2C Cross-Border E-Commerce Market, Peoples Daily Online, July 13, 2021.
7 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
sector.
16
At the same time, calls by Beijing to promote
common prosperity and curb excess may serve
to tone down the hype Chinas big e-commerce
platforms have been building around cross-border
shopping.
17
Several other external forces may also
put a dent on the growth of Chinas CBEC market, at
least in the short term. They include the slowing of
the Chinese economy due to COVID-zero policies and
strict lockdowns, the countrys real estate crisis and
other factors, which are motivating consumers to cut
back debt and increase savings.
18
Many of Chinas CBEC shoppers are relatively young,
well educated, with medium to high income.
19
Driven by a desire for high quality and authentic
goods, some of the key product categories imported
through B2C cross-border e-commerce include
cosmetics, maternity and baby products and
healthcare products.
20
Not all types of products can be imported to
China through this channel. In 2016 the Chinese
government introduced the Positive List, which lists
the product categories that can be imported into
China through a CBEC model. When first introduced,
the Positive List contained 1,293 categories, of which
about 360 were food or agricultural products.
21
Since then the list has been updated several times,
bringing the total number to 1,476 categories by
February 2022.
22
KEY SALES CHANNELS
When shopping cross-border, Chinese consumers are
most concerned about the authenticity of the products
that they buy, the reputation of the shopping website,
product variety, price, and ease of shopping.
23
Given
these concerns, it is no surprise that most Chinese
consumers prefer to shop cross-border on domestic
platforms, with which they are familiar and that
have a reputation for offering authentic products at
competitive prices. According to an iResearch report,
in 2020 58.3% of shoppers used domestic e-commerce
platforms for cross-border shopping. An additional
19.1% shopped through foreign platforms. Only 12.7%
shopped on official websites of foreign brands, and the
rest shopped in duty-free stores or used the services
of shopping agents (
Daigou).
24
This distribution
represents a significant shift from several years ago
when, based on a 2015 survey, only 46% of shoppers
used e-commerce platforms while 29% shopped
directly on foreign-brand websites.
25
Interestingly,
the introduction of the Positive List in 2016 renewed
interest in the services of agents, since as a C2C Daigou
channel, Daigou agents can bypass the Positive List
which only applies to B2B2C or B2C trade.
26
The most popular domestic platforms for cross-
border imports include Tmall Global (39.6% of total
volume), JD Worldwide (25%), Kaola (20.1%), and
VIP International (8.6%).
27
Some of the other players,
16 C.H. Poon, China Updates Cross-Border Retail Import Policy, HKTDC, July 22, 2019.
17 Josh Horowitz and Brenda Goh, From Splurge to Common Prosperity: Alibaba Tones Down Singles Day, Reuters, Nov. 1, 2021.
18 Yujing Liu and Tom Hancock, The Perils of Chinese Thrift, , Aug. 22, 2022.Bloomberg BusinessWeek
19 , 2021.2021 Cross-border Online Shopping Report, iResearch
20 Forging Ahead Against Headwinds: Chinas Imported Goods Market Research 2020, Tmall Global Deloitte China and , Nov. 3, 2020.
21 Chinese Government Policies Change for Cross-Border e-Commerce, USDA, Dec. 7, 2016.
22 China Cross-Border eCommerce: Positive List” Helper, TMO Group, accessed Oct. 19, 2022.
23 , 2021.Online Shopping Report, iResearch
24 , 2021.Online Shopping Report, iResearch
25 Hau L. Lee et al., U.S.-to-China B2C E-Commerce: Improving Logistics to Grow Trade, Stanford VCII, Aug. 2016.
26 Cross-border E-commerce Positive List Published (And Its Expansion), , accessed Oct. 19, 2022.EIBENS
27 Market Share of Import Cross-Border B2C E-Commerce Retailers in China in 3rd Quarter of 2022, Statista, Nov. 2022.
8 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
each with less than 3% of the market, include Amazon
Global, Little Red Book, Suning Global, and Xiaomi
Youpin Global. Below is a brief description for each of
the key players in this field.
Tmall Global: Launched in 2014 by Alibaba, Tmall
Global is Chinas largest cross-border B2C online
marketplace. As of early 2022, the platform is in use
by over 100 million active consumers and 30,000
international brands.
28
Kaola: Founded in 2015 by NetEase, the company
was acquired by Alibaba in 2019. It has become an
important CBEC unit of Alibaba and maintains its
independent operations. As of August 2022 it had over
30 million active users.
29
JD Worldwide: Launched by JD.com in 2015, JD
Worldwide offers over 10 million SKUs (stock keeping
units) of products imported from 20,000 brands all over
the world.
30
JD.com has over 580 million active users,
all of whom have access to JD Worldwide.
31
VIP International: Launched in 2014 by VIPShop,
which is an online discount retailer platform.
32
In 2021
VIPShop had 93.9 million active customers,
33
with all of
them having access to VIP International.
SOCIAL COMMERCE
Social commerce, which is the process of buying
and selling goods through a social platform, is a
huge industry in China. According to one estimate,
in 2021 the Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) of social
commerce in China reached 2,532 billion yuan ($398
billion
34
).
35
Pre-pandemic the industry has been
rapidly growing, almost doubling in size every year.
But the COVID-19 pandemic dramatically slowed
down this expansion, with 2020 and 2021 seeing a
growth rate of 11.62% and 10.09% respectively.
36
While much of the growth has been related to
domestic shopping, social commerce has also
penetrated CBEC. E-commerce platform Little Red
Book has been a social commerce pioneer, gaining
a reputation for reliable, authentic product reviews
and successfully integrating between social media
and retail.
37
JD Worldwide has also taken advantage
of social commerce through a partnership with
Little Red Book. Under this partnership, overseas
merchants can operate a storefront embedded in
JD Worldwide’s homepage on Little Red Book and
then use JDs logistics network for order fulfillment.
38
Other examples include Tmall Global, which among
other initiatives has expanded its Global Influencers
program to support overseas brands,
39
and social
media platform WeChat, which offers overseas
brands a way to sell cross-border through a branded
WeChat shop.
40
28 How to Sell in China With Tmall Global, TMO Group, March 9, 2022.
29 Complete Guide to Selling on Kaola for China Cross-border E-Commerce, , Aug. 17, 2022.GMA
30 Rachel Liu, In-depth Report: JD Worldwide Six Years and Going: Bridging Brands and Customers, JD.com, April 16, 2021.
31 Doris Liu, JD Worldwide Sales Jump as 618 Grand Promotion Kicks Off, JD.com, June 3, 2022.
32 , Oct. 19, 2020.Selling on Vipshop and VIP International in China: The Ultimate Guide, Export2Asia
33 VIPShop Reports Unaudited Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2021 Financial Results, VIP, Feb. 23, 2022.
34 Chinese Yuan to US Dollar spot exchange rates on Dec. 31, 2021, ExchangeRates.org.uk.
35 2021 Chinas social commerce market statistical report, 100ec.cn, March 23, 2022.
36 Chinas social commerce, 100ec.cn.
37 David Henriques, Guide to Social Commerce in China 2022, Sekkei Studio, Nov. 17, 2021.
38 JD Worldwide Lands on Xiaohongshu, Unlocking Chinas E-commerce for 20 Global Brands, DAO Insights, May 24, 2022.
39 Cecilia Li, Tmall Global Expands Its Global Influencers Program To Support Overseas Brands, Alizila, Nov. 11, 2020.
40 , accessed Oct. 20, 2022.How to sell in China from outside via WeChat, WeChat Wiki
9 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE IN THE U.S.
KEY POINTS
A growing number of U.S. online shoppers feel comfortable making cross-border purchases.
Popular product categories include clothing, toys, consumer electronics, media products, accessories,
and eyewear.
Several rules and regulations make retail CBEC from China to the U.S. more attractive financially.
E-commerce platforms are the most popular sales channel for CBEC.
MARKET OVERVIEW
U.S. consumers feel comfortable making more
and more of their purchases online. While in 2010
e-commerce represented only 4.3% of all retail sales,
41
by the third quarter of 2022 this percentage went up
to 14.8%.
42
E-commerce market share is expected to
continue growing, reaching 23.6% of all retail sales by
2025.
43
Moreover, the market is expected to surpass
$1 trillion for the first time in 2022, growing by 9.4%
over 2021 numbers.
44
Amazon is by far the leading
e-retailer in the U.S., accounting for 37.8% of the
e-commerce market as of June 2022, followed by
Walmart at 6.3%, Apple at 3.9%, eBay at 3.5%, and
Target at 2.1%.
45
Shopify, which is not an e-retailer but
rather an e-commerce platform that merchants can
use to set up their online stores, is also an important
player in this market. In terms of GMV, Shopify had a
10.3% market share in the U.S. in 2021, second only
to Amazon (41.0%) and ahead of Walmart (6.6%) and
eBay (4.2%).
46
As for cross-border shopping, a growing number of U.S.
online shoppers are comfortable with making such
purchases. In a 2022 PayPal survey 41% of respondents
made an international online purchase, which is a
sizable increase from the 33% polled the previous
year.
47
Overall, the U.S. is expected to have 69.8 million
cross-border retail e-commerce buyers (24.8% of the
population) in 2023.
48
Some of the product categories
cross-border shoppers frequently buy include clothing,
toys and hobbies, consumer electronics, media
products, accessories and eyewear.
49, 50
Popular
reasons for shopping cross-border include better
prices, access to items not available locally, and the
discovery of new and interesting products.
51
At the
same time, difficulty of returning unwanted items is
41 E-commerce as Percentage of Total Retail Sales in the United States from 2000 to 2020, Statista, Jan. 2022.
42 Quarterly Retail E-Commerce Sales, 3rd quarter 2022, U.S. Census Bureau News, Nov. 18, 2022, accessed Feb. 2, 2023.
43 Suzy Davidkhanian, US Ecommerce Forecast 2021, eMarketer, July 8, 2021.
44 Rachel Hasson, US Retail & Ecommerce Snapshot, Insider Intelligence, June 21, 2022.
45 Market share of Leading Retail E-commerce Companies in the United States as of June 2022, Statista, Aug. 2022.
46 Shopify Market Share and Usage Statistics in 2022, Kinsta, accessed Nov. 7, 2022.
47 Turn Shifting Values Into Cross-Border Opportunities: Borderless Commerce Report 2022, PayPal, page 93, accessed Oct. 21,
2022.
48 Cross-Border Retail eCommerce Buyers: US, 2020-2024, Insider Intelligence, Jan. 2023.
49 Selling via E-Commerce in the United States, , March 2018.Government of Canada
50 Borderless Commerce Report 2022, PayPal, page 94.
51 Borderless Commerce Report 2022, PayPal, page 94.
10 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
often seen as a barrier to cross-border shopping. The
top countries U.S. consumers buy from are China,
Canada, and the UK.
52, 53
Several rules and regulations make B2C e-commerce
from China to the U.S. more attractive financially. They
include Chinas decision in 2018 to waive export taxes
for direct-to-consumer companies,
54
as well as the U.S.
decision in 2016 to raise the value of imported goods
that are exempt from duties and taxes from $200 to
$800.
55
This means that many of the items ordered by
U.S consumers directly from China can be imported
free of duties and taxes. It is important to note that
new legislation introduced in the U.S. congress in
early 2022 aims to close this loophole.
56
If passed,
e-commerce companies selling into the U.S. may no
longer be able to avoid paying taxes and tariffs on
their imported goods.
KEY SALES CHANNELS
E-commerce platforms are the most popular channel
for cross-border e-commerce in the U.S. In a 2022
PayPal survey, 75% of respondents reported using
online marketplaces for shopping cross-border,
45% shopped on a store/retailer website, while 37%
shopped on a social media marketplace.
57
Following is
a brief overview of these sales channels.
Domestic platforms: Unlike in China, where
e-commerce companies operate dedicated
marketplaces for cross-border e-commerce, in the
U.S. the same platforms are used for domestic and
cross-border shopping. Among them Amazon is the
most dominant platform. Not only is it the leading
e-retailer in the U.S., but more than 50% of its top 100k
sellers are based in China.
58
As for eBay, while the total
number of international traders on the platform is
relatively small, over half of them are based in China
and Hong Kong.
59
Walmart, which in the past only
allowed U.S.-based merchants to sell on the Walmart
Marketplace, expanded it in March 2021 to allow
foreign sellers as well.
60
By mid-2022, the platform
added over 10,000 new sellers from China.
61
Foreign platforms:
AliExpress,
62
owned by the Alibaba
Group, is probably the most well-known Chinese
marketplace that sells to the U.S. market. AliExpress
sellers are predominantly based in China, though
they also include vendors in other South-East Asian
countries.
63
Other relevant China-based marketplaces
include Banggood,
64
GearBest, DHgate,
65 66
and more.
52 Borderless Commerce Report 2022, PayPal, page 94.
53 Cross-Border E-Commerce Shopper Survey 2021, , Jan. 2022. IPC
54 How Trumps Trade War Built Shein, Chinas First Global Fashion Giant, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, June 13, 2021.
55 De Minimis Value Increases to $800, U.S. Customs and Border Protection, March 11, 2016.
56 Deborah Belgum, $800 Gorilla In The Room: De Minimis A Tale of Unintended Consequences, Congressman Says, Sourcing
Journal, March 10, 2022.
57 Borderless Commerce Report 2022, PayPal, page 94.
58 Chinese Sellers Dont Want to Rely on Amazon, Marketplace Pulse, April 20, 2022.
59 The World’s Top eBay Sellers 2021, Webretailer, accessed Oct. 25, 2022.
60 Chinese Sellers Join Walmart Marketplace, Marketplace Pulse, March 26, 2021.
61 Chinese Sellers Dont Want to Rely on Amazon, Marketplace Pulse, April 20, 2022.
62 www.aliexpress.us, accessed Oct. 25, 2022.
63 Dan Price, The 10 Best Chinese Shopping Sites That Ship To The US, MakeUseOf, July 27, 2022.
64 usa.banggood.com, accessed Oct. 25, 2022.
65 www.gearbest.com, accessed Oct. 25, 2022.
66 www.dhgate.com, accessed Oct. 25, 2022.
11 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
Retailer websites: Several large Chinese brands,
such as fast fashion retailer Shein and electronics
manufacturer Anker, operate their own web stores.
Increasingly though, smaller Chinese merchants are
also turning to building their own direct-to-consumer
(DTC) channels as a way to reduce their reliance
on third-party e-commerce platforms. Some of the
reasons for moving away particularly from Amazon
include high fees charged by the e-commerce
giant, the freezing of thousands of Chinese seller
accounts,
67
and the blocking of merchants access
to customer data.
68
Building their own brands and
operating their own web stores offer merchants an
opportunity to improve their profitability, develop
closer relationships with their customers, and also
experiment with more innovative marketing and
sales tactics. Many of these Chinese sellers turn
to e-commerce platform Shopify to build their
DTC channel, as the platform offers an easy way
for merchants to create their online stores. The
strategic partnership between JD.com and Shopify,
announced in January 2022, may further accelerate
this trend, as it promises to simplify access and
compliance for Chinese brands looking to reach
consumers in Western markets.
69
Social commerce: Social commerce is increasing
in popularity in the U.S. Market research company
eMarketer estimates U.S. retail social commerce sales
to equal $53.1 billion in 2022, or 5.1% of total retail
e-commerce sales that year, and a 34.4% increase
from 2021 numbers.
70
The market is expected to
further grow to $130.1 billion by 2026.
71
Still, the
U.S. market pales in comparison to Chinas social
commerce market, which is about 10 times bigger.
72
Facebook is the top social commerce platform in the
U.S. It is estimated that in 2022 more than 60% of
U.S. social media users ages 14 and older will make
a purchase via Facebook, and about 40% will do so
via Instagram. Other key platforms include TikTok
and Pinterest, which are expected to draw 23.1% and
15.5% of social buyers in that age group respectively.
73
E-commerce companies are taking steps to
increase their presence in the social media space.
For instance, a partnership between Shopify and
TikTok, announced in October 2020,
74
allows Shopify
merchants to create, run and optimize their TikTok
marketing campaigns directly from the Shopify
dashboard. Similarly, YouTube Shopping, launched
in July 2022, offers Shopify merchants an easy way
to integrate their online store with the YouTube
platform and sell their products on YouTube.
75
Another example is offered by eBay. The company
recently announced an alliance with Snapchat,
under which eBay merchants can showcase
their eBay listings on Snapchat.
76
And Amazon is
reportedly testing a new tool called Inspire, which is
a photo and video feed of products similar in nature
to TikTok.
77
67 From Prime to ban: Amazons Crackdown on Chinese Sellers, Daxue Consulting, Dec. 20, 2021.
68 Chinese Sellers Dont Want to Rely on Amazon, Marketplace Pulse, April 20, 2022.
69 Rita Liao, Shopify and Chinas JD.com Team Up to Capture Cross-border Sellers, TechCrunch, Jan. 18, 2022.
70 Retail Social Commerce Sales: US, 2022-2026, eMarketer, July 2022.
71 Retail Social Commerce Sales: US, 2022-2026, eMarketer, July 2022.
72 Social Commerce Surpasses $30 billion in the US, Insider Intelligence, July 7, 2021.
73 Sara Lebow, Facebook Will Stay Atop the US Social Commerce Ladder, eMarketer, Sept. 8, 2022.
74 Sarah Perez, TikTok Partners with Shopify on Social Commerce, TechCrunch, Oct. 27, 2020.
75 Hit record: Shopify Partners with YouTube to Scale the Creator Economy, Shopify, July 19, 2022.
76 eBay Made Easy with Snapchat, Snapchat, Aug. 9, 2022.
77 Amanda Silberling, Amazon Is Internally Testing A TikTok-Like Feed In Its App, TechCrunch, Aug. 17, 2022.
12 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
LOGISTICS MODELS
KEY POINTS
Two key logistics models for satisfying CBEC orders are business-to-consumer (B2C) and business-to-
business-to-consumer (B2B2C). Under a B2C model orders are shipped directly from the seller to the buyer.
Under a B2B2C model the merchant first ships the goods in bulk to a fulfillment center operated by a 3rd
party; once customers place their orders, they are shipped from the fulfillment center.
Cross-border orders can be fulfilled from a warehouse located in the seller’s home country, or in the
destination country. Sales into China can also be fulfilled from a warehouse in Hong Kong.
Each of these logistics models offer a different mix of costs, shipping and delivery times, exposure to risks,
and level of customer support.
Fulfilling orders placed by shoppers located in a
different country is quite challenging. Transportation
is more expensive and shipping times are much
longer. The process is also more complex as each
segment of the way (domestic transportation in
the sellers home country, cross-country air/ocean
shipping, transportation in the buyers country, and
last mile delivery) may be handled by a different
entity. The multiple hand-offs of cargo between
these entities may reduce visibility to the goods in
transit and may lead to multiple delays. Import and
export tariffs, regulations and customs clearance
requirements further complicate the process.
Merchants who own the goods that they sell can
consider at a high level two logistics models for
satisfying cross-border e-commerce orders: business-
to-consumer (B2C), and business-to-business-to-
consumer (B2B2C). Another potential option for
merchants is to forego the ownership of inventory and
instead rely on drop shipping. Under a drop-shipping
model, the merchants would pass the details of any
orders they receive from their customers over to their
own suppliers (either manufacturers or wholesalers),
who would then be in charge of shipping the ordered
items directly to the customers. The drop-shipping
model is outside the scope of this paper and will not
be further discussed here.
Following is a brief description of the B2C and B2B2C
models. We also offer an overview of the storage
location alternatives merchants should consider.
BUSINESS-TO-CONSUMER / DIRECT SHIPPING
Under this model sellers ship the ordered items
directly from their warehouse to the buyer’s
location. The entire shipping process takes place
after customers place their orders. The seller is
responsible for inventory management and for
preparing the ordered items for shipment.
Direct shipping may provide a low-risk way for
the merchant to assess demand patterns at the
target market before signing any contracts with
external logistics providers. In addition, in-house
storage and order fulfillment may result in lower
operating costs compared to the fees charged by a
third party logistics partner. Another advantage of
direct shipping is that the merchant will likely be
required to pay fewer customs fees, as the value of
most parcels will fall under the threshold for import
taxes. At the same time, with international shipping
order delivery times will be long, potentially leading
to lower customer satisfaction and lower demand
levels. Another disadvantage of this model from
13 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
the customer’s perspective is that it will be much
harder for the merchant to offer free or reasonably
priced return and exchange services. Furthermore,
language barriers and time differences may make
it challenging for merchants to offer adequate
customer support. Individual merchants may also
lack the same level of expertise and scale enjoyed by
a 3PL provider, resulting in longer order fulfillment
times and higher shipping costs.
BUSINESS-TO-BUSINESS-TO-CONSUMER
Under this model the seller ships the goods in
bulk, and , to a in anticipation of customer orders
warehouse and fulfillment center operated by a third
party logistics (3PL) provider. The 3PL provider will
be in charge of warehousing and order fulfillment,
including processing customer orders, picking and
packing, shipping and delivery.
A key advantage of having a 3PL partner in charge
of storage and order fulfillment is that it frees
the merchants from the need to develop these
capabilities in-house, allowing them instead to
dedicate more resources to sales and marketing
activities. Furthermore, given their expertise,
3PL providers could potentially process and ship
customer orders faster. Finally, with higher shipping
volumes the 3PL providers would likely be able to
secure lower shipping rates the merchant may not
have access to.
Merchants have the option to store the goods and
fulfill customer orders from a warehouse in their
home country, or from one located closer to their
customers. We next discuss each of these options,
their benefits, and disadvantages.
FULFILLMENT FROM WAREHOUSE IN
SELLERS HOME COUNTRY
Under this option the 3PL provider and the merchant
are located in the same country. In addition to
storage and order fulfillment, the 3PL provider in this
case will also be in charge of arranging for cross-
border shipping and customs clearance of each
customer order.
There are a number of advantages to keeping
inventories in the seller’s home country. First,
merchants will be exposed to a lower level of risk,
as they will incur the cross-border shipping costs
only for those items purchased by their customers,
and only after customer orders have been placed.
Moreover, if the merchant sells the same products in
multiple markets, then it will be easier to divert any
unsold inventories to other markets. Using a single
storage location to fulfill demand in all markets will
also reduce total inventory levels. Finally, as the 3PL
providers will likely have their warehouse closer
to the countrys ports, such partnership may offer
somewhat shorter order fulfillment times compared
to a B2C model.
FULFILLMENT FROM WAREHOUSE IN
DESTINATION COUNTRY
Sellers who choose to store their goods in the
destination country, close to customers, can offer
their customers shorter order delivery times, and
may be more likely to experience higher demand and
improved customer satisfaction. Furthermore, with
a local fulfillment center merchants can more easily
offer customer support as well as a convenient and
affordable (or free) return service and may be more
Beyond customer-related benefits, merchants can
potentially also enjoy lower shipping costs due to
bulk (ocean) shipping of the goods to the overseas
warehouse. At the same time, sellers must commit a
portion of their inventory to the overseas warehouse,
14 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
which poses more risks and may lead to losses if that
inventory is not sold. In addition, with bulk shipping
merchants will likely be required to pay import
customs duties on all shipped items.
Bonded Warehouses
Customs bonded warehouses are places where
imported goods can be stored before they are
processed by customs. Payment of all customs
duties and charges is deferred until just before the
goods leave the bonded warehouse.
Some bonded warehouses also serve as fulfillment
centers, offering picking, packing and shipping
services. Cross-border e-commerce sellers can
benefit from storing their goods in a bonded vs.
unbonded warehouse in the destination country,
as that way they can improve their cash flow and
avoid paying customs duties on items that have
not been sold yet. Merchants should keep in mind,
though, that some bonded warehouses may offer
more limited fulfillment services compared to those
offered by dedicated 3PL providers.
FULFILLMENT FROM WAREHOUSE IN
HONG KONG
U.S.-based merchants who sell into China have the
option to fulfill customer orders from a warehouse in
Hong Kong.
Fulfilling customer orders from a Hong Kong
warehouse rather than a bonded warehouse in
mainland China offers a number of advantages.
One is lower import taxes. As a free port, Hong
Kong doesnt levy any customs tariffs on imports
or exports.
78
U.S.-based merchants can then bulk-
ship their goods tax-free to a Hong Kong warehouse
for storage and order fulfillment. Shipping smaller
parcels from Hong Kong to China to fulfill individual
customer orders will likely incur low or no tax, given
their relatively low value. In contrast, all items stored
in a bonded warehouse in mainland China will be
subject to import tariffs. Moreover, storing goods
in Hong Kong can also offer more flexibility. Hong
Kong has a well-developed international flight and
shipping network. Merchants can then use Hong
Kong as a hub for fulfilling customer orders not only
from China, but from other countries in the area.
At the same time, customs clearance as well as
transportation and last-mile delivery will likely take
longer compared to order fulfillment from a bonded
warehouse in mainland China. Storage and order
fulfillment will also be more expensive, given lower
labor costs and cheaper storage and transportation
options in mainland China.
79
COMPARISON OF LOGISTICS MODELS
Table 1 compares the different logistics models
based on their associated costs, order fulfillment and
delivery times, and a few other key considerations.
We use a color scheme to indicate the advantages
(in green) and disadvantages (in red) of each of the
logistics models. The text in orange indicates a lower
level of advantage/disadvantage compared with
those listed in green/red.
78 Policy on Import and Export of Goods, Trade and Industry Department, The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative
Region, accessed Oct. 3, 2022.
79 Selling via Bonded Warehouses in China: A Complete Guide, Export2Asia, Sept. 11, 2020.
15 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
TABLE 1
COMPARISON OF LOGISTICS MODELS
B2C MODEL /
DIRECT SHIPPING
B2B2C MODEL
WAREHOUSE IN
SELLERS COUNTRY
WAREHOUSE IN
BUYERS COUNTRY
WAREHOUSE IN HONG
KONG (FOR SALES INTO
CHINA)
COST
Order fulfillment
(pick and pack)
Potentially
lower (in-house
fulfillment)
Require investment
to develop
capabilities
Per-order costs may
be higher
No need to invest in
internal capabilities
Per-order costs may
be higher
No need to invest in
internal capabilities
Per-order costs may
be higher
No need to invest in
internal capabilities
Shipping High: express
shipping of
individual parcels
Cross-border
shipping only for
ordered items
High, but may be
lower than in a B2C
model
Cross-border
shipping only for
ordered items
Potentially lower
per unit (bulk cross-
border shipping)
Commit inventory to
overseas warehouse
Storage, order
fulfillment, shipping
more expensive
than in mainland
China
Import tariffs Can be avoided for
most orders
Can be avoided for
most orders
Required, due to
bulk shipping
With bonded
warehouses: can be
deferred
Can be avoided for
most orders
TIME
Order fulfillment Potentially longer
than with 3PL
Short (3PL
expertise)
Short (3PL
expertise)
Short (3PL
expertise)
Shipping and delivery Long (international
shipping)
Long (international
shipping)
Short (domestic) Longer than from
mainland China
ADDITIONAL CONSIDERATIONS
Risk Low-risk way to
assess market
demand
Inventory pooling
benefits
Low-risk way to
assess market
demand
Inventory pooling
benefits
Risk of obsolescence Potentially lower
risk compared to
storage in mainland
China
Return / exchange service Hard to provide Hard to provide Easy to provide May be more
expensive than from
mainland China
Customer support Hard to provide May be easier than
B2C model
Easy to provide Easy to provide
16 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
CROSS-BORDER SHIPPING ALTERNATIVES
KEY POINTS
Commonly used alternatives for cross-border shipping include postal service providers, express logistics
providers, freight forwarders and consolidators, and the logistics arms of the larger e-commerce companies.
Postal service providers offer more affordable but potentially slower services.
Express logistics providers offer a fast and convenient service but tend to be expensive.
Freight forwarders deal with larger shipment sizes. They act as intermediaries between shippers and
shipping companies.
Some of the large e-commerce companies built a logistics network for storage, distribution, and order
fulfillment that merchants can take advantage of.
Beyond the selection of a logistics model, another
important decision merchants who engage in cross-
border e-commerce need to make is what provider
to partner with for cross-border shipping. Commonly
used alternatives include postal service providers,
express logistics providers, freight forwarders and
consolidators, as well as the logistics arms of the
larger e-commerce companies. Following is an
overview of each of these alternatives.
POSTAL SERVICE PROVIDERS
Merchants who use direct shipping to fulfill overseas
customer orders may choose to ship the goods with
the postal service. The two postal service providers
involved in shipments between China and the
U.S. are China Post and the United States Postal
Service (USPS). Since USPS and China Post are both
members of the Universal Postal Union, they can
take advantage of the Customs Declaration System
created by the UPU to streamline customs clearance
and minimize delays.
80
USPS and China Post offer multiple shipping options
that vary in price and speed. Their slower services are
the most affordable among all the logistics options
discussed in this paper. For instance, the cost to
ship a small package of 0.5-2 lbs to China via USPS
First Class Package International Service is $28.85
81
(delivery time varies by destination). USPS will
charge $42.15 for priority service of packages of up
to 4 lbs, with delivery times between 6-10 business
days. Shipping costs from China to the U.S. via China
Post are similar, ranging between 104-314 RMB/kg
($7.16/lb to $21.63/lb).
82
Delivery time with China
Posts more expensive service is 7-15 business days,
while the cheapest option can take 40-70 days.
USPS and China Post also offer express delivery
services, which are speedier but also more expensive.
For instance, China Post Express Mail Service costs
240 RMB ($35.35) for merchandise up to 0.5 kg
(1.1 lbs) plus an additional 75 RMB ($11) for every
additional 0.5 kg, with a delivery time of 5 business
80 Universal Postal Union: Customs, accessed May 12, 2022.
81 USPS Price List, First Class Package Int’l Service, price group 14, accessed Sept. 27, 2022.
82 China Post website, accessed April 2022.
17 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
days. With USPS Priority Express it will cost $69.50 to
ship a small package of up to 1 lb plus $6.75 for each
additional pound, with an expected delivery time of
3-5 business days to many major markets.
EXPRESS LOGISTICS PROVIDERS
Another option for merchants who use direct
shipping and are looking for a fast and convenient
delivery service is to ship their customer orders with
an express logistics provider. Such providers offer
an end-to-end service with short delivery times, full
tracking from pickup to delivery, and fully managed
customs clearance. They may also offer other value-
added services, such as assistance with special
customs clearance needs or allowing customers to
adjust delivery time and location. At the same time,
their services are likely to be the most expensive of
the logistics options discussed in this paper. As an
example, shipping a small package weighing 1 lb
from California to Shanghai with UPS will cost about
$150, with a delivery time of 3-4 business days.
83
While the Chinese express logistics companies are
likely to be less expensive than the international
alternatives, their coverage may be more limited and
their delivery times may be slightly longer.
84
Some of the leading express logistics providers
include U.S.-based FedEx and UPS, Germany-based
DHL, and China-based SF Express.
FREIGHT FORWARDERS AND CONSOLIDATORS
Freight forwarders and consolidators usually deal
with larger shipment sizes, so their services will be
most relevant for merchants who operate under
the B2B2C model or those who have higher sales
volumes. The role of a consolidator is to combine
several smaller shipments belonging to multiple
shippers into full container loads, to reduce shipping
costs. A freight forwarder specializes in organizing
shipments by acting as an intermediary between
shippers and shipping companies. Freight forwarders
do not move the goods. Rather, they help identify
the best carriers for the specific needs of the
shipper based on such parameters as cost, speed,
and reliability, and then coordinate the shipments
on behalf of shippers. These days the two terms,
consolidator and freight forwarder, are often used
interchangeably, as many of the companies in the
field offer both consolidation and freight forwarding
services. For convenience, we will only use the term
freight forwarder” for the remainder of the paper
when referring to these service providers.
Smaller freight forwarders may collaborate with a
correspondent agent in the destination country,
who will take care of inbound document processing,
deconsolidation, and collection or delivery. Some
of the larger freight forwarders may offer a broader
solution that covers activities at the origin and
destination countries.
Some freight forwarders may offer additional
services beyond cross-border ocean or air freight
transportation. These may include organizing inland
transportation to/from the international port,
preparing and processing customs documentation
(or managing the expert services of independent
customs brokers, whose role is to ensure that all
documentation is prepared and filed correctly), and
helping businesses identify the most cost-effective
insurance providers and export packing services.
83 , accessed Nov. 3, 2022.UPS: Calculate Time and Cost
84 SF-International: Rates & Transit Time, accessed Nov. 3, 2022.
18 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
Some may also offer or help secure warehousing
and order fulfillment services. Merchants can decide
whether to take advantage of the wider range of
services offered by some of the freight forwarders
or collaborate with multiple service providers,
each specializing in one aspect of the cross-border
shipping process.
The freight forwarding global market is extremely
fragmented, with each of the leading companies
holding no more than 3-6% market share.
85
Some of the top freight forwarding companies for
trade between the U.S. and China include DSV,
Kuehne+Nagel, DB Schenker, Expeditors, C.H.
Robinson, and Flexport.
LOGISTICS ARMS OF E-COMMERCE PLATFORMS
The larger e-commerce companies, including
China-based Alibaba and JD.com and North America
companies Amazon and Shopify, have built an
in-house network of storage facilities, fulfillment
centers, and distribution networks. Merchants taking
advantage of these networks can enjoy a fast and
seamless order fulfillment, and can in turn offer their
customers fast delivery and a simple returns process.
Below is a brief overview of the logistics offerings of
these leading e-commerce companies.
Amazon: Amazon operates an extensive logistics
network in the U.S., which includes cargo planes,
freight and delivery trucks, warehouses, and
fulfillment centers. Third party merchants selling on
Amazon.com can take advantage of this logistics
infrastructure by choosing to have Amazon fulfill
their customer orders through the Fulfillment By
Amazon (FBA) service. Merchants located in China
can combine the FBA service with the Amazon Global
Logistics service, under which Amazon takes care
of shipping merchants cargo from China directly
to Amazon fulfillment centers in the U.S. Merchants
who sell to U.S. consumers on Amazon.com as well
as other sales channels can use Amazons fulfillment
network to fulfill orders received through all the
different channels.
86
Cainiao: Cainiao Network, launched in 2013, is a
global smart-logistics company and the logistics
arm of Alibaba Group. According to company data,
Cainiao delivered a daily average of 4.5 million
cross-border and international packages in FY2022.
Through Cainiaos full-chain logistics network
spanning over 200 countries, merchants can enjoy
a range of cost- and time-efficient delivery options
for the goods that they sell online. U.S. merchants
selling to Chinese consumers can take advantage
of the end-to-end logistics services offered by
Cainiao into mainland China as well as into Chinas
Hainan Free Trade Port. These services support
both B2C and B2B2C models and include inland
transportation in the U.S., shipping to China, storage
and order fulfillment, as well as inland transportation
and delivery in China. Cainiao also offers end-to-
end services for the China-to-U.S. route, supporting
direct shipping as well as order fulfillment from a
U.S. fulfillment center. These services are available
to all merchants, regardless of whether they sell
their goods through one of Alibabas e-commerce
platforms.
JD.com: JD.com has one of the largest fulfillment
infrastructures of any e-commerce company in
the world. As of September 2022, the company
85 , page 15, accessed Sept. 19, 2022.DSV Annual Report 2021
86 , accessed March 15, 2022.Multi-Channel Fulfillment, Amazon.com
19 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
operated over 1,500 warehouses,
87
as well as a
network of logistics parks. JD also operates a number
of air cargo routes and hundreds of cross-border
transportation routes by sea, rail, and trucks.
88
Their
logistics services from China to the U.S. include direct
line shipping, international air and sea transport,
and global fulfillment from six U.S.-based fulfillment
centers. As for imports from the U.S. to China, JDs
import logistics services consist of storage in cross-
border bonded warehouses, overseas special mail,
cross-border traceability, smart customs clearance,
and more.
89
JD offers these logistics services to all
merchants, regardless of whether they sell their
goods on the companys marketplace.
Some of the smaller e-commerce platforms are also
taking advantage of JDs global logistics network.
One example is VIP International, which in 2018
entered a strategic alliance with JD Global. Under
this alliance, VIP International shares its 12 overseas
warehouses with JD.com, which in turn shares its
logistics capabilities with VIP International.
90
Shopify: The company operates multiple fulfillment
centers throughout the U.S. and offers its merchants
a range of services including inventory management,
product storage and handling, order pick and pack,
fast delivery, and returns processing.
91
Shopifys
acquisition of e-commerce fulfillment company
Deliverr in May 2022 further enhanced its end-to-end
logistics offerings.
92
JD.com and Shopify Alliance: In January 2022
JD.com and Shopify announced a strategic
partnership aimed at helping to solve cross-border
commerce challenges for merchants in the U.S. and
China. Under this partnership, U.S.-based merchants
can easily list their products on JD Worldwide, with
expedited onboarding. They can also take advantage
of JDs global logistics network to handle end-to-
end fulfillment from JDs warehouses in the U.S.
directly to consumers in China.
93
As for China-based
merchants, those who set up their storefronts on
Shopify can enjoy a simplified logistics process
for order fulfillment, taking advantage of JDs
global logistics network for shipping to the U.S., in
combination with the Shopify Fulfillment Network.
94
87 , accessed Dec. 7, 2022.Our Business - JD Logistics, JD.com
88 Vivian Yang, JD Logistics Spotlights Air Cargo and Automated Warehouses for Global Expansion, JD.com, Oct. 18, 2021.
89 , accessed Nov. 7, 2022.JD International Logistics, JD Worldwide
90 A look at CBEC: VIP Global and JD Global share their overseas logistics resources, Southern Metropolis Daily, May 25, 2018.
91 Shopify Fulfillment Network: Grow Your Business with Fast, Affordable Delivery, Shopify, accessed Feb. 7, 2023.
92 Shopify Completes Acquisition of Deliverr to Expand Fast and Easy Fulfillment for Merchants Across Multiple Channels, Shopify,
July 8, 2022.
93 Shopify and JD.com Unlock World’s Largest Ecommerce Market for Merchants, Shopify, Jan. 18, 2022.
94 Rita Liao, Shopify and Chinas JD.com Team Up to Capture Cross-Border Sellers, TechCrunch, Jan. 18, 2022.
20 STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE
LOGISTICS FLOWS
KEY POINTS
The flow of goods from the merchants warehouse to the end customer will differ based on the logistics
model and shipping alternative selected by the merchant.
This section provides an overview of the logistics flows associated with each shipping alternative and the
entity in charge of each step of the process.
We next provide a detailed description of the
logistics flows associated with each of the shipping
alternatives discussed in the previous section. To
avoid repetition, in those cases when the logistics
flows for China-to-U.S. and U.S.-to-China shipments
are similar, we offer only a detailed description of the
China-to-U.S. route.
POSTAL SERVICE PROVIDERS
When shipping goods from China to the U.S. with
the postal service, the typical process flow will look
as follows
95
(see Figure 1): First, the merchant (or a
local 3PL provider the merchant partners with) will
pick and pack the ordered items, label the parcel,
prepare the required customs documents, and
bring the parcel to the post office. After verifying
that all the customs declaration forms have been
properly completed, China Post will ship the parcel
to one of its outward offices of exchange (OE) for
dispatch. Next, China Post will arrange for the parcel
to be shipped to the U.S. (the parcels will likely be
shipped with an airline or freight carrier China Post
collaborates with). Once the parcels arrive to the
U.S., they will be processed and go through customs
clearance at one of the USPS inward OEs. Finally,
USPS will ship the parcel from the entry airport all
the way to the customer.
When shipping goods from the U.S. to China the
process will be similar, only that the roles of China
Post and USPS will be reversed.
95 Partly based on WCO-UPU Postal Customs Guide, April 2018.

Preview text:

EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE white paper | march 2023 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary 4 Introduction 5
Cross-Border E-commerce in China 6 Market Overview 6 Key Sales Channels 7
Cross-Border E-commerce in the U.S. 9 Market Overview 9 Key Sales Channels 10 Logistics Models 12
Business-to-Consumer / Direct Shipping 12
Business-to-Business-to-Consumer 13
Comparison of Logistics Models 14
Cross-Border Shipping Alternatives 16 Postal Service Providers 16 Express Logistics Providers 17
Freight Forwarders and Consolidators 17
Logistics Arms of E-commerce Platforms 18 Logistics Flows 20 Postal Service Providers 20 Express Logistics Providers 21
Freight Forwarders and Consolidators 22
E-commerce Platforms: Amazon (China-to-U.S.) 24
E-commerce Platforms: Alibaba/Cainiao (U.S.-to-China) 26
Trends in CBEC Logistics 29
Expansion of Service Offerings and Geographic Footprint 30
Increased Reliance on Air Freight 31
Investment in Technology and Digital Capabilities 32 Green-Shipping Initiatives 33
Selecting a Logistics Strategy 35
Familiarity with Target Market 36 Demand Characteristics 37 Product Characteristics 38 Detailed Analysis 39 Conclusion 40
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 2 AUTHORS Barchi Gillai
Hau L. Lee, Principal Investigator
Associate Director, Value Chain Innovation Initiative
Thoma Professor of Operations, Information and Technology
Stanford Graduate School of Business
Faculty Co-Director, Value Chain Innovation Initiative Email: barchi@stanford.edu
Stanford Graduate School of Business RESEARCH ASSISTANTS Caroline Yuandi Ling Araya Sornwanee
MBA & Master of Science, Environment and Resources
Master of Science, Management Science and Engineering Stanford University Stanford University Tony Lianfeng Shan
Master of Science, Management Stanford University
ABOUT THE VALUE CHAIN INNOVATION INITIATIVE
The Value Chain Innovation Initiative brings
Our research and professional workshops focus on
together academics, industry leaders and
addressing problems that are highly relevant to the
practitioners to advance the theory and practice of
greater global business community, and cover a
global value chain innovation through research and
broad range of topics including global supply chain knowledge dissemination.
design in complex trade environments, responsible
Housed within the Graduate School of Business
supply chains, technological innovations and their
at Stanford University, we seek to understand
impact on value chains, and more.
the economic and social impacts of the global
Learn more at gsb.stanford.edu/vcii.
dynamics and technologies that are reshaping
businesses, industries and ecosystems across the value chain.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Business-to-consumer (B2C) cross-border
well as the logistics arms of the larger e-commerce
e-commerce (CBEC) is the practice of consumers
companies. The paper offers a description of each
purchasing goods directly from merchants located in
alternative, its pros and cons, and the scenarios under other countries.
which each alternative may be more relevant. We
Sound logistics services are critical for supporting
also offer a detailed description of the logistics flows
CBEC, given the importance consumers place on
associated with each of these shipping alternatives.
such aspects of the shopping experience as shipping
Finally, we also highlight in this paper some of
times and costs, visibility to their goods while in
the ways in which the logistics landscape has
transit, and the availability of return services.
evolved in recent years and discuss how these
Given the importance of CBEC logistics services and
trends are helping to address some of the main
the complexity of fulfilling cross-border orders, we
challenges sellers and buyers engaged in CBEC have
offer in this paper an overview of the logistics options traditionally faced.
available to cross-border merchants. We focus
The last part of the paper lays out our
specifically on the logistics alternatives supporting
recommendations for how merchants should
trade between China and the U.S. — two dominant
approach the task of determining the right logistics
players in the global CBEC market.
strategy for their specific business needs. Merchants
At a high level, merchants can consider two logistics
should base their decisions on a detailed analysis
models: business-to-consumer (B2C), also known
that compares the expected costs, revenues, and
as direct-shipping, and business-to-business-to-
risk factors associated with each logistics alternative.
consumer (B2B2C). Merchants should also decide
They should conduct this analysis while taking into
whether to fulfill customer orders from their home
consideration such factors as their internal expertise
country, or from a fulfillment center located closer
and familiarity with the target market, expected
to their customers. Each alternative offers a different
demand patterns, and the characteristics of the
set of trade-offs between cost, risk, speed of delivery, products that they sell.
and overall customer satisfaction.
As for selecting the logistics provider(s) to partner
with for cross-border shipping, key alternatives
include postal service providers, express logistics
providers, freight forwarders and consolidators, as
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 4 INTRODUCTION
Business-to-consumer (B2C) cross-border
items were valued below €25 (about US$24.6 4). Some
e-commerce (CBEC) is the practice of consumers
of the key reasons for shoppers to order goods from
purchasing goods directly from merchants located
other countries are the easy access to products and
in other countries. Common ways for consumers
brands that may not be available at their home
to engage in cross-border shopping is by ordering
country, as well as the ability to purchase items at a
goods directly from merchants’ own websites or
lower total cost compared to the prices charged at through online marketplaces.
local stores. At the same time, shipping and delivery
In recent years online shoppers have become more
are important aspects of the shopping experience
comfortable with cross-border shopping, leading
and may impact the willingness of online shoppers
to a steady growth of the global CBEC market. Most
to purchase goods from foreign websites. The results
experts expect this trend to continue in the coming
of a global survey by solution provider ESW illustrate
years. According to one market report, the global
this point, with 27% of participants selecting long
CBEC market is expected to expand at a compound
shipping times and high shipping costs as the main
annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.4%, from $578.57
reasons for them to avoid buying cross-border. 5
billion in 2019 to $2,248.57 billion by 2026. 1 We’d like
In another global survey, about two thirds of
to caution, though, that with the world potentially
respondents wanted the option of free standard
edging toward a global recession in 2023, 2 and with
shipping and identified delivery tracking and a clear
the world’s largest economies already experiencing a
delivery time frame as motivators to buy more. 6
sharp slowdown, the global CBEC market may end up
Given the importance and complexity of cross-
expanding at a slower pace than initially anticipated.
border shipping and delivery, we offer in this paper
As for the impact of COVID-19 on the market, while
an overview of the logistics options available
early on the pandemic led to a significant increase
to merchants engaged in CBEC. We specifically
in online shopping, cross-border e-commerce
focus on the logistics solutions available to small
experienced slower growth compared to domestic
and medium-size companies, which represent a
e-commerce markets. This can potentially be
large share of the CBEC market. We further offer
attributed to a combination of growing support for
our observations of the evolution of the logistics
local retailers and disruptions to global supply chains.
landscape in recent years and the way these changes
are alleviating some of the hurdles traditionally faced
Many cross-border orders are relatively small and
by merchants and shoppers engaged in CBEC.
inexpensive, as is illustrated by the results of a global
cross-border shopper survey by the International
China and the U.S. are the two leading countries
Post Corporation (IPC), 3 where 43% of orders
in terms of the dollar value of their B2C cross-
weighed up to 0.5 kg (1.1 lb) and a third of ordered
border e-commerce exports. 7 Furthermore, a
1 “Global Cross-Border E-commerce Market - Segment Analysis, Opportunity Assessment, Competitive Intelligence, Industry Outlook
2016-2026,” All the Research, Feb. 2021.
2 “Risk of Global Recession in 2023 Rises Amid Simultaneous Rate Hikes,” The World Bank, Sept. 15, 2022.
3 “Cross Border E-Commerce Shopper Survey 2021: Key Findings,” IPC, Jan. 2022.
4 Based on Oct. 17, 2022 exchange rate.
5 “Global Voices 2022,” ESW, accessed Oct. 17, 2022.
6 “Global Voices Pre-Peak Pulse 2021,” ESW, Sept. 17, 2021.
7 “Estimates of Global E-Commerce 2019 And Preliminary Assessment of Covid-19 Impact on Online Retail 2020,” UNCTAD, accessed Oct. 19, 2021.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 5
significant portion of this global trade takes place
countries Chinese shoppers buy from. 8, 9 Due to
between these two countries, as indicated by
the high CBEC trade volume between the U.S. and
several consumer surveys. They point to China as
China, the paper focuses on the logistics flows
the foreign country most U.S. online consumers between these two countries.
shop from, and to the U.S. as one of the top three
CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE IN CHINA KEY POINTS
Retail cross-border e-commerce has become increasingly popular in China.
Many of China’s CBEC shoppers are relatively young, well educated, with medium to high income.
Only products on the “Positive List” can be imported into China through this channel.
Domestic and foreign e-commerce platforms are the most popular sales channels for CBEC.
The use of social platforms for CBEC has also been gaining momentum. MARKET OVERVIEW
China is the world’s largest e-commerce market,
China’s express delivery industry and its expansion
accounting in 2021 for more than a half (52.1%) of
to smaller towns and more rural areas. According to
total worldwide retail e-commerce sales. 10 China
some estimates, the market reached a total of 483.74
also has the highest e-commerce penetration rate,
billion Yuan ($76 billion 12) in 2021, 13 with 280 million
with 46.3% of the country’s retail sales taking place
buyers expected to make cross-border e-commerce
online. 11 The market comprises two key segments,
purchases in 2023. 14 We caution though that such
domestic and cross-border e-commerce, with the
estimates vary widely across sources.
latter being the focus of this paper.
B2C cross-border e-commerce is viewed in China
Retail CBEC has become increasingly popular in
as an important force that stabilizes the country’s
China in recent years. This is due in part to the wide
foreign trade. 15 Because of that, China has
selection of imported goods available, attractive
implemented over the years a series of policies
pricing, and the convenience of online shopping.
designed to improve the regulation of CBEC retail
Another potential contributor is the rapid growth of
imports and promote the development of this
8 “Cross Border E-Commerce Shopper Survey 2021,” IPC, Jan. 2022.
9 “The Great Pivot in Global eCommerce: Borderless Commerce Report 2021,” PayPal, accessed Oct. 17, 2022.
10 “Top 10 Countries, Ranked by Retail Ecommerce Sales Share, 2021,” Insider Intelligence, May 2021.
11 “Top 10 Countries, Ranked by Retail Ecommerce Share of Total Retail Sales, 2022,” Insider Intelligence, Jan. 2022.
12 Based on the Chinese Yuan to US Dollar spot exchange rates on Dec. 31, 2021, ExchangeRates.org.uk, accessed Feb. 1, 2023.
13 “Market Size of Cross-Border E-Commerce Retail Imports in China from 2016 to 2021,” Statista, March 2022.
14 “Cross-Border Retail eCommerce Buyers, by Country,” Insider Intelligence, Jan. 2023.
15 “China Remains World’s Largest B2C Cross-Border E-Commerce Market,” People’s Daily Online, July 13, 2021.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 6
sector. 16 At the same time, calls by Beijing to promote
goods, some of the key product categories imported
“common prosperity” and curb excess may serve
through B2C cross-border e-commerce include
to tone down the hype China’s big e-commerce
cosmetics, maternity and baby products and
platforms have been building around cross-border healthcare products. 20
shopping. 17 Several other external forces may also
Not all types of products can be imported to
put a dent on the growth of China’s CBEC market, at
China through this channel. In 2016 the Chinese
least in the short term. They include the slowing of
government introduced the Positive List, which lists
the Chinese economy due to COVID-zero policies and
the product categories that can be imported into
strict lockdowns, the country’s real estate crisis and
China through a CBEC model. When first introduced,
other factors, which are motivating consumers to cut
the Positive List contained 1,293 categories, of which
back debt and increase savings. 18
about 360 were food or agricultural products. 21
Many of China’s CBEC shoppers are relatively young,
Since then the list has been updated several times,
well educated, with medium to high income. 19
bringing the total number to 1,476 categories by
Driven by a desire for high quality and authentic February 2022. 22 KEY SALES CHANNELS
When shopping cross-border, Chinese consumers are
of shopping agents (Daigou). 24 This distribution
most concerned about the authenticity of the products
represents a significant shift from several years ago
that they buy, the reputation of the shopping website,
when, based on a 2015 survey, only 46% of shoppers
product variety, price, and ease of shopping. 23 Given
used e-commerce platforms while 29% shopped
these concerns, it is no surprise that most Chinese
directly on foreign-brand websites. 25 Interestingly,
consumers prefer to shop cross-border on domestic
the introduction of the Positive List in 2016 renewed
platforms, with which they are familiar and that
interest in the services of Daigo u agents, since as a C2C
have a reputation for offering authentic products at
channel, Daigou agents can bypass the Positive List
competitive prices. According to an iResearch report,
which only applies to B2B2C or B2C trade. 26
in 2020 58.3% of shoppers used domestic e-commerce
platforms for cross-border shopping. An additional
The most popular domestic platforms for cross-
19.1% shopped through foreign platforms. Only 12.7%
border imports include Tmall Global (39.6% of total
shopped on official websites of foreign brands, and the
volume), JD Worldwide (25%), Kaola (20.1%), and
rest shopped in duty-free stores or used the services
VIP International (8.6%). 27 Some of the other players,
16 C.H. Poon, “China Updates Cross-Border Retail Import Policy,” HKTDC, July 22, 2019.
17 Josh Horowitz and Brenda Goh, “From Splurge to ‘Common Prosperity’: Alibaba Tones Down Singles Day,” Reuters, Nov. 1, 2021.
18 Yujing Liu and Tom Hancock, “The Perils of Chinese Thrift,” Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Aug. 22, 2022.
19 “2021 Cross-border Online Shopping Report,” iResearch, 2021.
20 Forging Ahead Against Headwinds: China’s Imported Goods Market Research 2020, Tmall Global and Deloitte China, Nov. 3, 2020.
21 “Chinese Government Policies Change for Cross-Border e-Commerce,” USDA, Dec. 7, 2016.
22 “China Cross-Border eCommerce: “Positive List” Helper,” TMO Group, accessed Oct. 19, 2022.
23 “Online Shopping Report,” iResearch, 2021.
24 “Online Shopping Report,” iResearch, 2021.
25 Hau L. Lee et al., “U.S.-to-China B2C E-Commerce: Improving Logistics to Grow Trade,” Stanford VCII, Aug. 2016.
26 “Cross-border E-commerce Positive List Published (And Its Expansion),” EIBENS, accessed Oct. 19, 2022.
27 “Market Share of Import Cross-Border B2C E-Commerce Retailers in China in 3rd Quarter of 2022,” Statista, Nov. 2022.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 7
each with less than 3% of the market, include Amazon
in 2021 the Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) of social
Global, Little Red Book, Suning Global, and Xiaomi
commerce in China reached 2,532 billion yuan ($398
Youpin Global. Below is a brief description for each of
billion 34). 35 Pre-pandemic the industry has been the key players in this field.
rapidly growing, almost doubling in size every year.
Tmall Global: Launched in 2014 by Alibaba, Tmall
But the COVID-19 pandemic dramatically slowed
Global is China’s largest cross-border B2C online
down this expansion, with 2020 and 2021 seeing a
marketplace. As of early 2022, the platform is in use
growth rate of 11.62% and 10.09% respectively. 36
by over 100 million active consumers and 30,000
While much of the growth has been related to international brands. 28
domestic shopping, social commerce has also
Kaola: Founded in 2015 by NetEase, the company
penetrated CBEC. E-commerce platform Little Red
was acquired by Alibaba in 2019. It has become an
Book has been a social commerce pioneer, gaining
important CBEC unit of Alibaba and maintains its
a reputation for reliable, authentic product reviews
independent operations. As of August 2022 it had over
and successfully integrating between social media 30 million active users. 29
and retail. 37 JD Worldwide has also taken advantage
of social commerce through a partnership with
JD Worldwide: Launched by JD.com in 2015, JD
Little Red Book. Under this partnership, overseas
Worldwide offers over 10 million SKUs (stock keeping
merchants can operate a storefront embedded in
units) of products imported from 20,000 brands all over
JD Worldwide’s homepage on Little Red Book and
the world. 30 JD.com has over 580 million active users,
then use JD’s logistics network for order fulfillment. 38
all of whom have access to JD Worldwide. 31
Other examples include Tmall Global, which among
VIP International: Launched in 2014 by VIPShop,
other initiatives has expanded its Global Influencers
which is an online discount retailer platform. 32 In 2021
program to support overseas brands, 39 and social
VIPShop had 93.9 million active customers, 33 with all of
media platform WeChat, which offers overseas
them having access to VIP International.
brands a way to sell cross-border through a branded WeChat shop. 40 SOCIAL COMMERCE
Social commerce, which is the process of buying
and selling goods through a social platform, is a
huge industry in China. According to one estimate,
28 “How to Sell in China With Tmall Global,” TMO Group, March 9, 2022.
29 Complete Guide to Selling on Kaola for China Cross-border E-Commerce, GMA, Aug. 17, 2022.
30 Rachel Liu, “In-depth Report: JD Worldwide Six Years and Going: Bridging Brands and Customers,” JD.com, April 16, 2021.
31 Doris Liu, “JD Worldwide Sales Jump as 618 Grand Promotion Kicks Off,” JD.com, June 3, 2022.
32 “Selling on Vipshop and VIP International in China: The Ultimate Guide,” Export2Asia, Oct. 19, 2020.
33 “VIPShop Reports Unaudited Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2021 Financial Results,” VIP, Feb. 23, 2022.
34 Chinese Yuan to US Dollar spot exchange rates on Dec. 31, 2021, ExchangeRates.org.uk.
35 “2021 China’s social commerce market statistical report,” 100ec.cn, March 23, 2022.
36 “China’s social commerce,” 100ec.cn.
37 David Henriques, “Guide to Social Commerce in China 2022,” Sekkei Studio, Nov. 17, 2021.
38 “JD Worldwide Lands on Xiaohongshu, Unlocking China’s E-commerce for 20 Global Brands,” DAO Insights, May 24, 2022.
39 Cecilia Li, “Tmall Global Expands Its Global Influencers Program To Support Overseas Brands,” Alizila, Nov. 11, 2020.
40 “How to sell in China from outside via WeChat,” WeChat Wiki, accessed Oct. 20, 2022.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 8
CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE IN THE U.S. KEY POINTS
A growing number of U.S. online shoppers feel comfortable making cross-border purchases.
Popular product categories include clothing, toys, consumer electronics, media products, accessories, and eyewear.
Several rules and regulations make retail CBEC from China to the U.S. more attractive financially.
E-commerce platforms are the most popular sales channel for CBEC. MARKET OVERVIEW
U.S. consumers feel comfortable making more
to Amazon (41.0%) and ahead of Walmart (6.6%) and
and more of their purchases online. While in 2010 eBay (4.2%). 46
e-commerce represented only 4.3% of all retail sales, 41
As for cross-border shopping, a growing number of U.S.
by the third quarter of 2022 this percentage went up
online shoppers are comfortable with making such
to 14.8%. 42 E-commerce market share is expected to
purchases. In a 2022 PayPal survey 41% of respondents
continue growing, reaching 23.6% of all retail sales by
made an international online purchase, which is a
2025. 43 Moreover, the market is expected to surpass
sizable increase from the 33% polled the previous
$1 trillion for the first time in 2022, growing by 9.4%
year. 47 Overall, the U.S. is expected to have 69.8 million
over 2021 numbers. 44 Amazon is by far the leading
cross-border retail e-commerce buyers (24.8% of the
e-retailer in the U.S., accounting for 37.8% of the
population) in 2023. 48 Some of the product categories
e-commerce market as of June 2022, followed by
cross-border shoppers frequently buy include clothing,
Walmart at 6.3%, Apple at 3.9%, eBay at 3.5%, and
toys and hobbies, consumer electronics, media
Target at 2.1%. 45 Shopify, which is not an e-retailer but
products, accessories and eyewear. 49, 50 Popular
rather an e-commerce platform that merchants can
reasons for shopping cross-border include better
use to set up their online stores, is also an important
prices, access to items not available locally, and the
player in this market. In terms of GMV, Shopify had a
discovery of new and interesting products. 51 At the
10.3% market share in the U.S. in 2021, second only
same time, difficulty of returning unwanted items is
41 “E-commerce as Percentage of Total Retail Sales in the United States from 2000 to 2020,” Statista, Jan. 2022.
42 “Quarterly Retail E-Commerce Sales, 3rd quarter 2022,” U.S. Census Bureau News, Nov. 18, 2022, accessed Feb. 2, 2023.
43 Suzy Davidkhanian, “US Ecommerce Forecast 2021,” eMarketer, July 8, 2021.
44 Rachel Hasson, “US Retail & Ecommerce Snapshot,” Insider Intelligence, June 21, 2022.
45 “Market share of Leading Retail E-commerce Companies in the United States as of June 2022,” Statista, Aug. 2022.
46 “Shopify Market Share and Usage Statistics in 2022,” Kinsta, accessed Nov. 7, 2022.
47 “Turn Shifting Values Into Cross-Border Opportunities: Borderless Commerce Report 2022,” PayPal, page 93, accessed Oct. 21, 2022.
48 “Cross-Border Retail eCommerce Buyers: US, 2020-2024,” Insider Intelligence, Jan. 2023.
49 Selling via E-Commerce in the United States, Government of Canada, March 2018.
50 “Borderless Commerce Report 2022,” PayPal, page 94.
51 “Borderless Commerce Report 2022,” PayPal, page 94.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 9
often seen as a barrier to cross-border shopping. The
$800. 55 This means that many of the items ordered by
top countries U.S. consumers buy from are China,
U.S consumers directly from China can be imported Canada, and the UK. 52, 53
free of duties and taxes. It is important to note that
Several rules and regulations make B2C e-commerce
new legislation introduced in the U.S. congress in
from China to the U.S. more attractive financially. They
early 2022 aims to close this loophole. 56 If passed,
include China’s decision in 2018 to waive export taxes
e-commerce companies selling into the U.S. may no
for direct-to-consumer companies, 54 as well as the U.S.
longer be able to avoid paying taxes and tariffs on
decision in 2016 to raise the value of imported goods their imported goods.
that are exempt from duties and taxes from $200 to KEY SALES CHANNELS
E-commerce platforms are the most popular channel
number of international traders on the platform is
for cross-border e-commerce in the U.S. In a 2022
relatively small, over half of them are based in China
PayPal survey, 75% of respondents reported using
and Hong Kong. 59 Walmart, which in the past only
online marketplaces for shopping cross-border,
allowed U.S.-based merchants to sell on the Walmart
45% shopped on a store/retailer website, while 37%
Marketplace, expanded it in March 2021 to allow
shopped on a social media marketplace. 57 Following is
foreign sellers as well. 60 By mid-2022, the platform
a brief overview of these sales channels.
added over 10,000 new sellers from China. 61
Domestic platforms: Unlike in China, where
Foreign platforms: AliExpress, 62 owned by the Alibaba
e-commerce companies operate dedicated
Group, is probably the most well-known Chinese
marketplaces for cross-border e-commerce, in the
marketplace that sells to the U.S. market. AliExpress
U.S. the same platforms are used for domestic and
sellers are predominantly based in China, though
cross-border shopping. Among them Amazon is the
they also include vendors in other South-East Asian
most dominant platform. Not only is it the leading
countries. 63 Other relevant China-based marketplaces
e-retailer in the U.S., but more than 50% of its top 100k
include Banggood, 64 GearBest, 65 DHgate, 66 and more.
sellers are based in China. 58 As for eBay, while the total
52 “Borderless Commerce Report 2022,” PayPal, page 94.
53 “Cross-Border E-Commerce Shopper Survey 2021,” IPC, Jan. 2022.
54 “How Trump’s Trade War Built Shein, China’s First Global Fashion Giant,” Bloomberg BusinessWeek, June 13, 2021.
55 “De Minimis Value Increases to $800,” U.S. Customs and Border Protection, March 11, 2016.
56 Deborah Belgum, “$800 Gorilla In The Room: De Minimis A Tale of ‘Unintended Consequences,’ Congressman Says,” Sourcing Journal, March 10, 2022.
57 “Borderless Commerce Report 2022,” PayPal, page 94.
58 “Chinese Sellers Don’t Want to Rely on Amazon,” Marketplace Pulse, April 20, 2022.
59 “The World’s Top eBay Sellers 2021,” Webretailer, accessed Oct. 25, 2022.
60 “Chinese Sellers Join Walmart Marketplace,” Marketplace Pulse, March 26, 2021.
61 “Chinese Sellers Don’t Want to Rely on Amazon,” Marketplace Pulse, April 20, 2022.
62 www.aliexpress.us, accessed Oct. 25, 2022.
63 Dan Price, “The 10 Best Chinese Shopping Sites That Ship To The US,” MakeUseOf, July 27, 2022.
64 usa.banggood.com, accessed Oct. 25, 2022.
65 www.gearbest.com, accessed Oct. 25, 2022.
66 www.dhgate.com, accessed Oct. 25, 2022.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 10
Retailer websites: Several large Chinese brands,
U.S. market pales in comparison to China’s social
such as fast fashion retailer Shein and electronics
commerce market, which is about 10 times bigger. 72
manufacturer Anker, operate their own web stores.
Facebook is the top social commerce platform in the
Increasingly though, smaller Chinese merchants are
U.S. It is estimated that in 2022 more than 60% of
also turning to building their own direct-to-consumer
U.S. social media users ages 14 and older will make
(DTC) channels as a way to reduce their reliance
a purchase via Facebook, and about 40% will do so
on third-party e-commerce platforms. Some of the
via Instagram. Other key platforms include TikTok
reasons for moving away particularly from Amazon
and Pinterest, which are expected to draw 23.1% and
include high fees charged by the e-commerce
15.5% of social buyers in that age group respectively. 73
giant, the freezing of thousands of Chinese seller
E-commerce companies are taking steps to
accounts, 67 and the blocking of merchants’ access
increase their presence in the social media space.
to customer data. 68 Building their own brands and
For instance, a partnership between Shopify and
operating their own web stores offer merchants an
TikTok, announced in October 2020, 74 allows Shopify
opportunity to improve their profitability, develop
merchants to create, run and optimize their TikTok
closer relationships with their customers, and also
marketing campaigns directly from the Shopify
experiment with more innovative marketing and
dashboard. Similarly, YouTube Shopping, launched
sales tactics. Many of these Chinese sellers turn
in July 2022, offers Shopify merchants an easy way
to e-commerce platform Shopify to build their
to integrate their online store with the YouTube
DTC channel, as the platform offers an easy way
platform and sell their products on YouTube. 75
for merchants to create their online stores. The
Another example is offered by eBay. The company
strategic partnership between JD.com and Shopify,
recently announced an alliance with Snapchat,
announced in January 2022, may further accelerate
under which eBay merchants can showcase
this trend, as it promises to simplify access and
their eBay listings on Snapchat. 76 And Amazon is
compliance for Chinese brands looking to reach
reportedly testing a new tool called “Inspire,” which is
consumers in Western markets. 69
a photo and video feed of products similar in nature
Social commerce: Social commerce is increasing to TikTok. 77
in popularity in the U.S. Market research company
eMarketer estimates U.S. retail social commerce sales
to equal $53.1 billion in 2022, or 5.1% of total retail
e-commerce sales that year, and a 34.4% increase
from 2021 numbers. 70 The market is expected to
further grow to $130.1 billion by 2026. 71 Still, the
67 “From Prime to ban: Amazon’s Crackdown on Chinese Sellers,” Daxue Consulting, Dec. 20, 2021.
68 “Chinese Sellers Don’t Want to Rely on Amazon,” Marketplace Pulse, April 20, 2022.
69 Rita Liao, “Shopify and China’s JD.com Team Up to Capture Cross-border Sellers,” TechCrunch, Jan. 18, 2022.
70 “Retail Social Commerce Sales: US, 2022-2026,” eMarketer, July 2022.
71 “Retail Social Commerce Sales: US, 2022-2026,” eMarketer, July 2022.
72 “Social Commerce Surpasses $30 billion in the US,” Insider Intelligence, July 7, 2021.
73 Sara Lebow, “Facebook Will Stay Atop the US Social Commerce Ladder,” eMarketer, Sept. 8, 2022.
74 Sarah Perez, “TikTok Partners with Shopify on Social Commerce,” TechCrunch, Oct. 27, 2020.
75 “Hit record: Shopify Partners with YouTube to Scale the Creator Economy,” Shopify, July 19, 2022.
76 “eBay Made Easy with Snapchat,” Snapchat, Aug. 9, 2022.
77 Amanda Silberling, “Amazon Is Internally Testing A TikTok-Like Feed In Its App,” TechCrunch, Aug. 17, 2022.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 11 LOGISTICS MODELS KEY POINTS
Two key logistics models for satisfying CBEC orders are business-to-consumer (B2C) and business-to-
business-to-consumer (B2B2C). Under a B2C model orders are shipped directly from the seller to the buyer.
Under a B2B2C model the merchant first ships the goods in bulk to a fulfillment center operated by a 3rd
party; once customers place their orders, they are shipped from the fulfillment center.
Cross-border orders can be fulfilled from a warehouse located in the seller’s home country, or in the
destination country. Sales into China can also be fulfilled from a warehouse in Hong Kong.
Each of these logistics models offer a different mix of costs, shipping and delivery times, exposure to risks,
and level of customer support.
Fulfilling orders placed by shoppers located in a
satisfying cross-border e-commerce orders: business-
different country is quite challenging. Transportation
to-consumer (B2C), and business-to-business-to-
is more expensive and shipping times are much
consumer (B2B2C). Another potential option for
longer. The process is also more complex as each
merchants is to forego the ownership of inventory and
segment of the way (domestic transportation in
instead rely on drop shipping. Under a drop-shipping
the seller’s home country, cross-country air/ocean
model, the merchants would pass the details of any
shipping, transportation in the buyer’s country, and
orders they receive from their customers over to their
last mile delivery) may be handled by a different
own suppliers (either manufacturers or wholesalers),
entity. The multiple hand-offs of cargo between
who would then be in charge of shipping the ordered
these entities may reduce visibility to the goods in
items directly to the customers. The drop-shipping
transit and may lead to multiple delays. Import and
model is outside the scope of this paper and will not
export tariffs, regulations and customs clearance be further discussed here.
requirements further complicate the process.
Following is a brief description of the B2C and B2B2C
Merchants who own the goods that they sell can
models. We also offer an overview of the storage
consider at a high level two logistics models for
location alternatives merchants should consider.
BUSINESS-TO-CONSUMER / DIRECT SHIPPING
Under this model sellers ship the ordered items
storage and order fulfillment may result in lower
directly from their warehouse to the buyer’s
operating costs compared to the fees charged by a
location. The entire shipping process takes place
third party logistics partner. Another advantage of
after customers place their orders. The seller is
direct shipping is that the merchant will likely be
responsible for inventory management and for
required to pay fewer customs fees, as the value of
preparing the ordered items for shipment.
most parcels will fall under the threshold for import
Direct shipping may provide a low-risk way for
taxes. At the same time, with international shipping
the merchant to assess demand patterns at the
order delivery times will be long, potentially leading
target market before signing any contracts with
to lower customer satisfaction and lower demand
external logistics providers. In addition, in-house
levels. Another disadvantage of this model from
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 12
the customer’s perspective is that it will be much
customer support. Individual merchants may also
harder for the merchant to offer free or reasonably
lack the same level of expertise and scale enjoyed by
priced return and exchange services. Furthermore,
a 3PL provider, resulting in longer order fulfillment
language barriers and time differences may make
times and higher shipping costs.
it challenging for merchants to offer adequate
BUSINESS-TO-BUSINESS-TO-CONSUMER
Under this model the seller ships the goods in
There are a number of advantages to keeping
bulk, and in anticipation of customer orders, to a
inventories in the seller’s home country. First,
warehouse and fulfillment center operated by a third
merchants will be exposed to a lower level of risk,
party logistics (3PL) provider. The 3PL provider will
as they will incur the cross-border shipping costs
be in charge of warehousing and order fulfillment,
only for those items purchased by their customers,
including processing customer orders, picking and
and only after customer orders have been placed.
packing, shipping and delivery.
Moreover, if the merchant sells the same products in
A key advantage of having a 3PL partner in charge
multiple markets, then it will be easier to divert any
of storage and order fulfillment is that it frees
unsold inventories to other markets. Using a single
the merchants from the need to develop these
storage location to fulfill demand in all markets will
capabilities in-house, allowing them instead to
also reduce total inventory levels. Finally, as the 3PL
dedicate more resources to sales and marketing
providers will likely have their warehouse closer
activities. Furthermore, given their expertise,
to the country’s ports, such partnership may offer
3PL providers could potentially process and ship
somewhat shorter order fulfillment times compared
customer orders faster. Finally, with higher shipping to a B2C model.
volumes the 3PL providers would likely be able to
secure lower shipping rates the merchant may not
FULFILLMENT FROM WAREHOUSE IN have access to. DESTINATION COUNTRY
Merchants have the option to store the goods and
Sellers who choose to store their goods in the
fulfill customer orders from a warehouse in their
destination country, close to customers, can offer
home country, or from one located closer to their
their customers shorter order delivery times, and
customers. We next discuss each of these options,
may be more likely to experience higher demand and
their benefits, and disadvantages.
improved customer satisfaction. Furthermore, with
a local fulfillment center merchants can more easily
FULFILLMENT FROM WAREHOUSE IN
offer customer support as well as a convenient and SELLER’S HOME COUNTRY
affordable (or free) return service and may be more
Under this option the 3PL provider and the merchant
likely to resell any returned merchandise.
are located in the same country. In addition to
Beyond customer-related benefits, merchants can
storage and order fulfillment, the 3PL provider in this
potentially also enjoy lower shipping costs due to
case will also be in charge of arranging for cross-
bulk (ocean) shipping of the goods to the overseas
border shipping and customs clearance of each
warehouse. At the same time, sellers must commit a customer order.
portion of their inventory to the overseas warehouse,
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 13
which poses more risks and may lead to losses if that
Fulfilling customer orders from a Hong Kong
inventory is not sold. In addition, with bulk shipping
warehouse rather than a bonded warehouse in
merchants will likely be required to pay import
mainland China offers a number of advantages.
customs duties on all shipped items.
One is lower import taxes. As a free port, Hong
Kong doesn’t levy any customs tariffs on imports Bonded Warehouses
or exports. 78 U.S.-based merchants can then bulk-
Customs bonded warehouses are places where
ship their goods tax-free to a Hong Kong warehouse
imported goods can be stored before they are
for storage and order fulfillment. Shipping smaller
processed by customs. Payment of all customs
parcels from Hong Kong to China to fulfill individual
duties and charges is deferred until just before the
customer orders will likely incur low or no tax, given
goods leave the bonded warehouse.
their relatively low value. In contrast, all items stored
Some bonded warehouses also serve as fulfillment
in a bonded warehouse in mainland China will be
centers, offering picking, packing and shipping
subject to import tariffs. Moreover, storing goods
services. Cross-border e-commerce sellers can
in Hong Kong can also offer more flexibility. Hong
benefit from storing their goods in a bonded vs.
Kong has a well-developed international flight and
unbonded warehouse in the destination country,
shipping network. Merchants can then use Hong
as that way they can improve their cash flow and
Kong as a hub for fulfilling customer orders not only
avoid paying customs duties on items that have
from China, but from other countries in the area.
not been sold yet. Merchants should keep in mind,
At the same time, customs clearance as well as
though, that some bonded warehouses may offer
transportation and last-mile delivery will likely take
more limited fulfillment services compared to those
longer compared to order fulfillment from a bonded
offered by dedicated 3PL providers.
warehouse in mainland China. Storage and order
fulfillment will also be more expensive, given lower
FULFILLMENT FROM WAREHOUSE IN
labor costs and cheaper storage and transportation HONG KONG options in mainland China. 79
U.S.-based merchants who sell into China have the
option to fulfill customer orders from a warehouse in Hong Kong.
COMPARISON OF LOGISTICS MODELS
Table 1 compares the different logistics models
(in green) and disadvantages (in red) of each of the
based on their associated costs, order fulfillment and
logistics models. The text in orange indicates a lower
delivery times, and a few other key considerations.
level of advantage/disadvantage compared with
We use a color scheme to indicate the advantages those listed in green/red.
78 “Policy on Import and Export of Goods,” Trade and Industry Department, The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, accessed Oct. 3, 2022.
79 “Selling via Bonded Warehouses in China: A Complete Guide,” Export2Asia, Sept. 11, 2020.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 14 TABLE 1
COMPARISON OF LOGISTICS MODELS B2C MODEL / B2B2C MODEL DIRECT SHIPPING WAREHOUSE IN HONG WAREHOUSE IN WAREHOUSE IN KONG (FOR SALES INTO SELLER’S COUNTRY BUYERS’ COUNTRY CHINA) COST Order fulfillment Potentially
Per-order costs may
Per-order costs may
Per-order costs may (pick and pack) lower (in-house be higher be higher be higher fulfillment)
No need to invest in
No need to invest in
No need to invest in Require investment internal capabilities internal capabilities internal capabilities to develop capabilities Shipping High: express High, but may be Potentially lower Storage, order shipping of lower than in a B2C per unit (bulk cross- fulfillment, shipping individual parcels model border shipping) more expensive Cross-border Cross-border
Commit inventory to than in mainland shipping only for shipping only for overseas warehouse China ordered items ordered items Import tariffs Can be avoided for Can be avoided for Required, due to Can be avoided for most orders most orders bulk shipping most orders With bonded warehouses: can be deferred TIME Order fulfillment Potentially longer Short (3PL Short (3PL Short (3PL than with 3PL expertise) expertise) expertise) Shipping and delivery
Long (international
Long (international Short (domestic) Longer than from shipping) shipping) mainland China
ADDITIONAL CONSIDERATIONS Risk Low-risk way to Low-risk way to
Risk of obsolescence Potentially lower assess market assess market risk compared to demand demand storage in mainland Inventory pooling Inventory pooling China benefits benefits Return / exchange service Hard to provide Hard to provide Easy to provide May be more expensive than from mainland China Customer support Hard to provide May be easier than Easy to provide Easy to provide B2C model
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 15
CROSS-BORDER SHIPPING ALTERNATIVES KEY POINTS
Commonly used alternatives for cross-border shipping include postal service providers, express logistics
providers, freight forwarders and consolidators, and the logistics arms of the larger e-commerce companies.
Postal service providers offer more affordable but potentially slower services.
Express logistics providers offer a fast and convenient service but tend to be expensive.
Freight forwarders deal with larger shipment sizes. They act as intermediaries between shippers and shipping companies.
Some of the large e-commerce companies built a logistics network for storage, distribution, and order
fulfillment that merchants can take advantage of.
Beyond the selection of a logistics model, another
express logistics providers, freight forwarders and
important decision merchants who engage in cross-
consolidators, as well as the logistics arms of the
border e-commerce need to make is what provider
larger e-commerce companies. Following is an
to partner with for cross-border shipping. Commonly
overview of each of these alternatives.
used alternatives include postal service providers,
POSTAL SERVICE PROVIDERS
Merchants who use direct shipping to fulfill overseas
First Class Package International Service is $28.85 81
customer orders may choose to ship the goods with
(delivery time varies by destination). USPS will
the postal service. The two postal service providers
charge $42.15 for priority service of packages of up
involved in shipments between China and the
to 4 lbs, with delivery times between 6-10 business
U.S. are China Post and the United States Postal
days. Shipping costs from China to the U.S. via China
Service (USPS). Since USPS and China Post are both
Post are similar, ranging between 104-314 RMB/kg
members of the Universal Postal Union, they can
($7.16/lb to $21.63/lb). 82 Delivery time with China
take advantage of the Customs Declaration System
Post’s more expensive service is 7-15 business days,
created by the UPU to streamline customs clearance
while the cheapest option can take 40-70 days. and minimize delays. 80
USPS and China Post also offer express delivery
USPS and China Post offer multiple shipping options
services, which are speedier but also more expensive.
that vary in price and speed. Their slower services are
For instance, China Post Express Mail Service costs
the most affordable among all the logistics options
240 RMB ($35.35) for merchandise up to 0.5 kg
discussed in this paper. For instance, the cost to
(1.1 lbs) plus an additional 75 RMB ($11) for every
ship a small package of 0.5-2 lbs to China via USPS
additional 0.5 kg, with a delivery time of 5 business
80 “Universal Postal Union: Customs,” accessed May 12, 2022.
81 “USPS Price List,” First Class Package Int’l Service, price group 14, accessed Sept. 27, 2022.
82 China Post website, accessed April 2022.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 16
days. With USPS Priority Express it will cost $69.50 to
additional pound, with an expected delivery time of
ship a small package of up to 1 lb plus $6.75 for each
3-5 business days to many major markets.
EXPRESS LOGISTICS PROVIDERS
Another option for merchants who use direct
the logistics options discussed in this paper. As an
shipping and are looking for a fast and convenient
example, shipping a small package weighing 1 lb
delivery service is to ship their customer orders with
from California to Shanghai with UPS will cost about
an express logistics provider. Such providers offer
$150, with a delivery time of 3-4 business days. 83
an end-to-end service with short delivery times, full
While the Chinese express logistics companies are
tracking from pickup to delivery, and fully managed
likely to be less expensive than the international
customs clearance. They may also offer other value-
alternatives, their coverage may be more limited and
added services, such as assistance with special
their delivery times may be slightly longer. 84
customs clearance needs or allowing customers to
Some of the leading express logistics providers
adjust delivery time and location. At the same time,
include U.S.-based FedEx and UPS, Germany-based
their services are likely to be the most expensive of
DHL, and China-based SF Express.
FREIGHT FORWARDERS AND CONSOLIDATORS
Freight forwarders and consolidators usually deal
“freight forwarder” for the remainder of the paper
with larger shipment sizes, so their services will be
when referring to these service providers.
most relevant for merchants who operate under
Smaller freight forwarders may collaborate with a
the B2B2C model or those who have higher sales
correspondent agent in the destination country,
volumes. The role of a consolidator is to combine
who will take care of inbound document processing,
several smaller shipments belonging to multiple
deconsolidation, and collection or delivery. Some
shippers into full container loads, to reduce shipping
of the larger freight forwarders may offer a broader
costs. A freight forwarder specializes in organizing
solution that covers activities at the origin and
shipments by acting as an intermediary between destination countries.
shippers and shipping companies. Freight forwarders
Some freight forwarders may offer additional
do not move the goods. Rather, they help identify
services beyond cross-border ocean or air freight
the best carriers for the specific needs of the
transportation. These may include organizing inland
shipper based on such parameters as cost, speed,
transportation to/from the international port,
and reliability, and then coordinate the shipments
preparing and processing customs documentation
on behalf of shippers. These days the two terms,
(or managing the expert services of independent
consolidator and freight forwarder, are often used
customs brokers, whose role is to ensure that all
interchangeably, as many of the companies in the
documentation is prepared and filed correctly), and
field offer both consolidation and freight forwarding
helping businesses identify the most cost-effective
services. For convenience, we will only use the term
insurance providers and export packing services.
83 “UPS: Calculate Time and Cost,” accessed Nov. 3, 2022.
84 “SF-International: Rates & Transit Time,” accessed Nov. 3, 2022.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 17
Some may also offer or help secure warehousing
The freight forwarding global market is extremely
and order fulfillment services. Merchants can decide
fragmented, with each of the leading companies
whether to take advantage of the wider range of
holding no more than 3-6% market share. 85
services offered by some of the freight forwarders
Some of the top freight forwarding companies for
or collaborate with multiple service providers,
trade between the U.S. and China include DSV,
each specializing in one aspect of the cross-border
Kuehne+Nagel, DB Schenker, Expeditors, C.H. shipping process. Robinson, and Flexport.
LOGISTICS ARMS OF E-COMMERCE PLATFORMS
The larger e-commerce companies, including
Cainiao: Cainiao Network, launched in 2013, is a
China-based Alibaba and JD.com and North America
global smart-logistics company and the logistics
companies Amazon and Shopify, have built an
arm of Alibaba Group. According to company data,
in-house network of storage facilities, fulfillment
Cainiao delivered a daily average of 4.5 million
centers, and distribution networks. Merchants taking
cross-border and international packages in FY2022.
advantage of these networks can enjoy a fast and
Through Cainiao’s full-chain logistics network
seamless order fulfillment, and can in turn offer their
spanning over 200 countries, merchants can enjoy
customers fast delivery and a simple returns process.
a range of cost- and time-efficient delivery options
Below is a brief overview of the logistics offerings of
for the goods that they sell online. U.S. merchants
these leading e-commerce companies.
selling to Chinese consumers can take advantage
Amazon: Amazon operates an extensive logistics
of the end-to-end logistics services offered by
network in the U.S., which includes cargo planes,
Cainiao into mainland China as well as into China’s
freight and delivery trucks, warehouses, and
Hainan Free Trade Port. These services support
fulfillment centers. Third party merchants selling on
both B2C and B2B2C models and include inland
Amazon.com can take advantage of this logistics
transportation in the U.S., shipping to China, storage
infrastructure by choosing to have Amazon fulfill
and order fulfillment, as well as inland transportation
their customer orders through the Fulfillment By
and delivery in China. Cainiao also offers end-to-
Amazon (FBA) service. Merchants located in China
end services for the China-to-U.S. route, supporting
can combine the FBA service with the Amazon Global
direct shipping as well as order fulfillment from a
Logistics service, under which Amazon takes care
U.S. fulfillment center. These services are available
of shipping merchants’ cargo from China directly
to all merchants, regardless of whether they sell
to Amazon fulfillment centers in the U.S. Merchants
their goods through one of Alibaba’s e-commerce
who sell to U.S. consumers on Amazon.com as well platforms.
as other sales channels can use Amazon’s fulfillment
JD.com: JD.com has one of the largest fulfillment
network to fulfill orders received through all the
infrastructures of any e-commerce company in different channels. 86
the world. As of September 2022, the company
85 “DSV Annual Report 2021,” page 15, accessed Sept. 19, 2022.
86 “Multi-Channel Fulfillment,” Amazon.com, accessed March 15, 2022.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 18
operated over 1,500 warehouses, 87 as well as a
a range of services including inventory management,
network of logistics parks. JD also operates a number
product storage and handling, order pick and pack,
of air cargo routes and hundreds of cross-border
fast delivery, and returns processing. 91 Shopify’s
transportation routes by sea, rail, and trucks. 88 Their
acquisition of e-commerce fulfillment company
logistics services from China to the U.S. include direct
Deliverr in May 2022 further enhanced its end-to-end
line shipping, international air and sea transport, logistics offerings. 92
and global fulfillment from six U.S.-based fulfillment
JD.com and Shopify Alliance: In January 2022
centers. As for imports from the U.S. to China, JD’s
JD.com and Shopify announced a strategic
import logistics services consist of storage in cross-
partnership aimed at helping to solve cross-border
border bonded warehouses, overseas special mail,
commerce challenges for merchants in the U.S. and
cross-border traceability, smart customs clearance,
China. Under this partnership, U.S.-based merchants
and more. 89 JD offers these logistics services to all
can easily list their products on JD Worldwide, with
merchants, regardless of whether they sell their
expedited onboarding. They can also take advantage
goods on the company’s marketplace.
of JD’s global logistics network to handle end-to-
Some of the smaller e-commerce platforms are also
end fulfillment from JD’s warehouses in the U.S.
taking advantage of JD’s global logistics network.
directly to consumers in China. 93 As for China-based
One example is VIP International, which in 2018
merchants, those who set up their storefronts on
entered a strategic alliance with JD Global. Under
Shopify can enjoy a simplified logistics process
this alliance, VIP International shares its 12 overseas
for order fulfillment, taking advantage of JD’s
warehouses with JD.com, which in turn shares its
global logistics network for shipping to the U.S., in
logistics capabilities with VIP International. 90
combination with the Shopify Fulfillment Network. 94
Shopify: The company operates multiple fulfillment
centers throughout the U.S. and offers its merchants
87 “Our Business - JD Logistics,” JD.com, accessed Dec. 7, 2022.
88 Vivian Yang, “JD Logistics Spotlights Air Cargo and Automated Warehouses for Global Expansion,” JD.com, Oct. 18, 2021.
89 “JD International Logistics,” JD Worldwide, accessed Nov. 7, 2022.
90 “A look at CBEC: VIP Global and JD Global share their overseas logistics resources,” Southern Metropolis Daily, May 25, 2018.
91 “Shopify Fulfillment Network: Grow Your Business with Fast, Affordable Delivery,” Shopify, accessed Feb. 7, 2023.
92 “Shopify Completes Acquisition of Deliverr to Expand Fast and Easy Fulfillment for Merchants Across Multiple Channels,” Shopify, July 8, 2022.
93 “Shopify and JD.com Unlock World’s Largest Ecommerce Market for Merchants,” Shopify, Jan. 18, 2022.
94 Rita Liao, “Shopify and China’s JD.com Team Up to Capture Cross-Border Sellers,” TechCrunch, Jan. 18, 2022.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 19 LOGISTICS FLOWS KEY POINTS
The flow of goods from the merchant’s warehouse to the end customer will differ based on the logistics
model and shipping alternative selected by the merchant.
This section provides an overview of the logistics flows associated with each shipping alternative and the
entity in charge of each step of the process.
We next provide a detailed description of the
flows for China-to-U.S. and U.S.-to-China shipments
logistics flows associated with each of the shipping
are similar, we offer only a detailed description of the
alternatives discussed in the previous section. To China-to-U.S. route.
avoid repetition, in those cases when the logistics
POSTAL SERVICE PROVIDERS
When shipping goods from China to the U.S. with
to be shipped to the U.S. (the parcels will likely be
the postal service, the typical process flow will look
shipped with an airline or freight carrier China Post
as follows 95 (see Figure 1): First, the merchant (or a
collaborates with). Once the parcels arrive to the
local 3PL provider the merchant partners with) will
U.S., they will be processed and go through customs
pick and pack the ordered items, label the parcel,
clearance at one of the USPS inward OEs. Finally,
prepare the required customs documents, and
USPS will ship the parcel from the entry airport all
bring the parcel to the post office. After verifying the way to the customer.
that all the customs declaration forms have been
When shipping goods from the U.S. to China the
properly completed, China Post will ship the parcel
process will be similar, only that the roles of China
to one of its outward offices of exchange (OE) for
Post and USPS will be reversed.
dispatch. Next, China Post will arrange for the parcel
95 Partly based on “WCO-UPU Postal Customs Guide,” April 2018.
STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS | EXPLORING THE RIGHT LOGISTICS STRATEGY FOR CHINA-U.S. B2C CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE 20