lOMoARcPSD| 58562220
*Some definition:
+ Independent project: more than 1 promising project can be chosen; accepting or rejecting 1
project does not affect the decision of other projects
+ Mutually exclusive projects: only one of several potential projects can be chosen
+ Contingent project: acceptance of 1 project depends on the acceptance of other projects
Chap 5: Investment Decision Rules
1. Net Present Value (NPV):
A goal of financial management is to create value for the stockholders.
+ If the cash flow uneven:
𝑪𝑭
NPV = -CF0 + 𝟏 + 𝑪𝑭𝟐𝟐 +…+ (𝟏𝑪𝑭+𝒓𝒏)𝒏
𝟏+𝒓 (𝟏+𝒓)
+ If the cash flow growing perpetuities:
𝑪𝑭
NPV = -CF
0
+
𝟏
𝒓−𝒈
If the NPV is positive, accept the project
+
If
ash flows
are the same
:
lOMoARcPSD| 58562220
#Note:
+ r : opportunity cost of capital, required rate of return, discount rate, WACC
+ Mutually exclusive projects: choose the highest NPV
+ If two projects have difference timeline Use EAA
2. Internal Rate of Return (IRR): is the return that makes the NPV = 0
Accept the project if IRR > Required of return (cost of capital) -
Advantage:
+ Easy to know how much will receive (communication)
+ Marginal risk (high risk – high return)
- Disavantage:
+ Financing project (the early CF is positive from raise capital)
+ IRR is just return don’t know whose belong to
+ Non-conventional cash flows (dòng tiền không quy tắc) => If the CFs changes sign,
will have more than once (IRR change overtime)
+ Mutually exclusive project (project with higher IRR may have lower NPV) NPV
is more reliable
3.
Payback Period: amount of time to recover initial investment
- Disavantage:
+ Ignore TVM, remove CF after PP
+ Biased against long-term project
+ May note have positive in NPV
𝑹𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒊𝒏𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒄𝒐𝒔𝒕 𝒕𝒐 𝒓𝒆𝒄𝒐𝒗𝒆𝒓
PB period = Years before cost recovery +
𝑪𝑭 𝒅𝒖𝒓𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒚𝒆𝒂𝒓
Accept if the payback period < a pre-specified length of time – maximum acceptable
PB period (cut off point (
lOMoARcPSD| 58562220
4. Profitability Index (PI): Measures value created per dollar invested
#𝑵𝑷𝑽
PI =
𝑰𝒏𝒏𝒊𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝒊𝒏𝒗𝒆𝒔𝒕𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕
Normally results in same accept-reject decisions as NPV (PI>1 NPV positive)
When capital is scarce, accept projects with highest PI
Cannot be used to rank mutually exclusive projects
5. Equivalent Annual Cost/ Annuaity (EAC/EAA):
Compare when firm have 2 unequal projects (different time)
Projects have negative CFs only (costs) and they are different projects lives.
Replacement decisions (compute EAC for new equipment and compare it with
annual CFs from old equipment)
Revenue or profit (income): Choose highest EAA (NPV>0)
Cost: choose lowest EAC (NPV<0)
Chap 6: Capital Budgeting and Cash Flow Projection
*Incremental Cash Flow is the additional operating cash flow that an organization receives
from taking on a new project (difference between the cash flow with the project and the cash
flow without the project) included:
+ Initial investment: The total upfront cost to get the project going.
+ Opportunity cost: The value of the best alternative foregone.
+ Side-effects: The costs or revenues incurred due to the impact of the new project on
existing projects.
Negative: For example, a new product causes customers to demand less of current
products.
Positive: Resonance are created that increase demand for current products.
+ Operating cash flow: The cash related to directly operating the project.
lOMoARcPSD| 58562220
+ Change in working capital: The money the company invests to expand the project
(projected costs to run the project).
+ After-tax cash flow: Selling assets at their salvage value and incurring a gain/loss on assets
sold. This gain/loss creates a tax impact on the project's after-tax cash flow.
Does not include:
+ Sunk costs: Costs that have already been incurred in the past and cannot be recovered
(market research costs, overhead costs like office rent…)
+ Interest expense or financing costs: These are separate expenses not directly related to the
project's cash flow.
Step to calculate Cash Flow:
Step 1: Determine initial investment
Cost of new assets
Machinery: included shipping cost, installation, modifying fee.. amum(không
tính chi
&Nphếí thay mu đó là land thì pháy mới) ải lấy market value
Opportunity cost: discount về present value hoặc làm cashflow của mỗi năm
If replacment machine (như bước 4) or sài tiếp máy cũ thì (machinery = book value)
Step 2: Determine operating cash flow (OCF)
Income method
+ Revenue – Cost (Fix & Variable) – Depreciation = EBIT (earning before interest and
tax)
+ EBIT – TAX (EBITx%tax)= Net income OCF
= Net income + Depreciation t·ax shield Depreciation
method:
+ Straight line:
Machinery -Book value
Depreciation =
Number of years +
MARCRS:
Depreciation = Machinery x %depreciation (theo bảng)
Step 3: Determine Change in Working Capital
Change in WC = New &OldWC requirement – NeweOld WC requirement
WC năm cuối luôn bằng 0 (kết thúc project)
(Không phải bài nào WC cũng bắt đầu từ năm 0)
Step 4: Determine After Tax cash flow
Book value: remaining value at the final of project
lOMoARcPSD| 58562220
+ Book value = Machinery – Total Depreciation
Salvage value: selling price or market value
Taxes/Tax savings = (Selling price – Book value)*%Tax
+ Selling price > Book value (Gain)
After tax cash flow = Selling price – Taxes
+ Selling price < Book value (Loss)
After tax cash flow = Selling price + Tax savings
Note:
+Nếu đề cho salvage nhưng không cho selling price Salvage value chính là selling price
+Nếu đề cho salvage value và selling price salvage value chính là book value
Step 5: Cash Flow for Project: cộng các dòng tiền ở các bước trên lại 1+2+3+4
Step 6: Decision criteria: Tính NPV, IRR, PI, PP, EAA theo yêu cầu của đề
Should or shouldn’t invest in the the project
Chap 7: Risk and Return
1. Rate of return:
For bond:
For stock:
2. Expected rate of return: based on the probability of possible outcomes.
Note: R: possible return
p: probability of the return
3. Measuring Risk: (standard deviation)
Dạng 1: Đề không cho probability mà cho return theo các năm (có thể bấm máy):
Coupon income + Price change
Rate of return =
Investment
D1 + P1 - P0
Rate of return = Capital gains + Dividend yield = P0
lOMoARcPSD| 58562220
Dạng 2: Cho probability (tính tay):
Example: You have been given the following probability distribution for the return on
XYZ stock
State of econoy
Probability
Return
Boom
Recovery
Recession
0.35 0.3
0.35
20%
2
10%
-10%
What is the return standard deviation of XYZ stock?
Expected return = 0.35×20% + 0.3×10% + 0.35×(-10%) = 6.5%
Variance = 0.35×(0.2-0.065)
2
+ 0.3×(0.1-0.065)
2
+ 0.35×(-0.1- 0.065)
2
= 0.016275
Standard deviation =
2
0.016275 = 12.76%
Coeffcient of variation (CV): measure of the risk per unit of return
So sánh các assets với nhau đ xem nên invest vào asset nào
r bằng nhau, σ khác nhau: chn lower σ (less risk)
r khác nhau, σ bằng nhau: chn higher r
r khác nhau, σ khác nhau: tính CV chn lower CV (less risk per unit)
4. Portfolio
- The risk-return trade-off for a portfolio is measured by the portfolio expected
return and standard deviation.
- Portfolio weights: the proportion of the total investment in the portfolio
invested in each asset.
𝜎
CV =
r
lOMoARcPSD| 58562220
Example:
State of econoy
Probability
Stock A
Stock B
Boom
0.4
20%
15%
Recovery
0.3
10%
10%
Recession
0.3
-10%
5%
What are the expected return and standard deviation for a portfolio with an investment of
$8,000 in stock A and $2,000 in stock B?
&
5. Diversification:
Systematic Risk (market risk or non-diversifiable risk):
affect overall market and can not avoid
Mesure by Beta β độ risky của portfolio β < 1: less
market risk than the market (less-sensitve) β > 1: more
market risk than the market (more sensitve) β = 1:
market risk equal the market (market portfolio) β = 0:
no risk – risk free (How about β = -1?)
Unsystematic Risk (specific risk or diversifiable risk):
affect only that company and can avoid
6. CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model)
R
i
= R
F
+ β(R
M
-R
F
)
Note:
+ Ri: expected return on a security
+ R
F
: risk free
+ R
M
-R
F:
market risk premium
lOMoARcPSD| 58562220
+ R
M:
market risk
Lưu ý: trong 1 portfolio tổng weight của 1 assets luôn bằng 1
R
M
=E(R
p
) expected return on the market portfolio
Chap 8: Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
1. Capital Struture and Cost of Capital:
The mix of long-term debt and equity securities
Leverage: the amount of debt used to finance a firm’s assets
The return to an investor is the same as the cost to the company.
2. WACC
Capital Structure
Market Value
Cost of
Equity
Common stock
Current price x
number of stock
outstanding
Devidend growth model:
𝑫𝟏
+ R
e
= + g
𝑷𝟎
+ D
1
= D
0
*(1+g)
CAPM: R
i
= R
F
+ β(R
M
-R
F
)
Preferred stock
Current price x
number of stock
outstanding
𝑫
R =
𝑷𝟎
Total fund
Number outstanding =
Par value
Debt
Bond
Market price x number
of bond outstanding
R
b
= YTM
Selling at par: R
b
= YTM= Coupon rate
Bank Loan
Book value
Current interest rate on loan
𝑫 𝑬
WACC = x R
d
x (1-T) + x R
e
𝑽 𝑽
lOMoARcPSD| 58562220
Note:
E, D: Market value of Equity and Debt
𝑽 = 𝑬 + 𝑫 : Total market value of the firm
𝑅
D
, 𝑅
E
: Cost of Debt, Cost of Equity
D E
Weights: W
D
= , W
E
=
V V

Preview text:

lOMoAR cPSD| 58562220 *Some definition:
+ Independent project: more than 1 promising project can be chosen; accepting or rejecting 1
project does not affect the decision of other projects
+ Mutually exclusive projects: only one of several potential projects can be chosen
+ Contingent project: acceptance of 1 project depends on the acceptance of other projects
Chap 5: Investment Decision Rules
1. Net Present Value (NPV):
A goal of financial management is to create value for the stockholders. + If the cash flow uneven: 𝑪𝑭
NPV = -CF0 + 𝟏 + 𝑪𝑭𝟐𝟐 +…+ (𝟏𝑪𝑭+𝒓𝒏)𝒏 𝟏+𝒓 (𝟏+𝒓)
+ If all c ash flows are the same :
+ If the cash flow growing perpetuities: 𝑪𝑭
NPV = -CF0 + 𝟏 𝒓−𝒈
 If the NPV is positive, accept the project lOMoAR cPSD| 58562220 #Note:
+ r : opportunity cost of capital, required rate of return, discount rate, WACC
+ Mutually exclusive projects: choose the highest NPV
+ If two projects have difference timeline  Use EAA
2. Internal Rate of Return (IRR): is the return that makes the NPV = 0
 Accept the project if IRR > Required of return (cost of capital) - Advantage:
+ Easy to know how much will receive (communication)
+ Marginal risk (high risk – high return) - Disavantage:
+ Financing project (the early CF is positive from raise capital)
+ IRR is just return don’t know whose belong to
+ Non-conventional cash flows (dòng tiền không quy tắc) => If the CFs changes sign,
will have more than once (IRR change overtime)
+ Mutually exclusive project (project with higher IRR may have lower NPV)  NPV is more reliable
3. Payback Period: amount of time to recover initial investment - Disavantage:
+ Ignore TVM, remove CF after PP
+ Biased against long-term project
+ May note have positive in NPV
𝑹𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒊𝒏𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒄𝒐𝒔𝒕 𝒕𝒐 𝒓𝒆𝒄𝒐𝒗𝒆𝒓
PB period = Years before cost recovery +
𝑪𝑭 𝒅𝒖𝒓𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒚𝒆𝒂𝒓
 Accept if the payback period < a pre-specified length of time – maximum acceptable PB period (cut off point ( lOMoAR cPSD| 58562220
4. Profitability Index (PI): Measures value created per dollar invested #𝑵𝑷𝑽 PI =
𝑰𝒏𝒏𝒊𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝒊𝒏𝒗𝒆𝒔𝒕𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕 •
Normally results in same accept-reject decisions as NPV (PI>1  NPV positive) •
When capital is scarce, accept projects with highest PI •
Cannot be used to rank mutually exclusive projects
5. Equivalent Annual Cost/ Annuaity (EAC/EAA):
Compare when firm have 2 unequal projects (different time)
• Projects have negative CFs only (costs) and they are different projects lives.
• Replacement decisions (compute EAC for new equipment and compare it with
annual CFs from old equipment)
 Revenue or profit (income): Choose highest EAA (NPV>0)
 Cost: choose lowest EAC (NPV<0)
Chap 6: Capital Budgeting and Cash Flow Projection
*Incremental Cash Flow is the additional operating cash flow that an organization receives
from taking on a new project (difference between the cash flow with the project and the cash
flow without the project) included:
+ Initial investment: The total upfront cost to get the project going.
+ Opportunity cost: The value of the best alternative foregone.
+ Side-effects: The costs or revenues incurred due to the impact of the new project on existing projects.
Negative: For example, a new product causes customers to demand less of current products.
Positive: Resonance are created that increase demand for current products.
+ Operating cash flow: The cash related to directly operating the project. lOMoAR cPSD| 58562220
+ Change in working capital: The money the company invests to expand the project
(projected costs to run the project).
+ After-tax cash flow: Selling assets at their salvage value and incurring a gain/loss on assets
sold. This gain/loss creates a tax impact on the project's after-tax cash flow. Does not include:
+ Sunk costs: Costs that have already been incurred in the past and cannot be recovered
(market research costs, overhead costs like office rent…)
+ Interest expense or financing costs: These are separate expenses not directly related to the project's cash flow.
Step to calculate Cash Flow:
Step 1: Determine initial investment • Cost of new assets
• Machinery: included shipping cost, installation, modifying fee.. amum(không tính chi
&Nphếí thay mu đó là land thì pháy mới) ải lấy market value
• Opportunity cost: discount về present value hoặc làm cashflow của mỗi năm
If replacment machine (như bước 4) or sài tiếp máy cũ thì (machinery = book value)
Step 2: Determine operating cash flow (OCF) • Income method
+ Revenue – Cost (Fix & Variable) – Depreciation = EBIT (earning before interest and tax)
+ EBIT – TAX (EBITx%tax)= Net income  OCF
= Net income + Depreciation t·ax shield • Depreciation method: + Straight line: Machinery -Book value Depreciation = Number of years + MARCRS:
Depreciation = Machinery x %depreciation (theo bảng)
Step 3: Determine Change in Working Capital
• Change in WC = New &OldWC requirement – NeweOld WC requirement
• WC năm cuối luôn bằng 0 (kết thúc project)
(Không phải bài nào WC cũng bắt đầu từ năm 0)
Step 4: Determine After Tax cash flow
• Book value: remaining value at the final of project lOMoAR cPSD| 58562220
+ Book value = Machinery – Total Depreciation
• Salvage value: selling price or market value
Taxes/Tax savings = (Selling price – Book value)*%Tax
+ Selling price > Book value (Gain)
After tax cash flow = Selling price – Taxes
+ Selling price < Book value (Loss)
After tax cash flow = Selling price + Tax savings Note:
+Nếu đề cho salvage nhưng không cho selling price  Salvage value chính là selling price
+Nếu đề cho salvage value và selling price  salvage value chính là book value
Step 5: Cash Flow for Project: cộng các dòng tiền ở các bước trên lại 1+2+3+4
Step 6: Decision criteria: Tính NPV, IRR, PI, PP, EAA theo yêu cầu của đề 
Should or shouldn’t invest in the the project
Chap 7: Risk and Return 1. Rate of return: For bond: Coupon income + Price change Rate of return = For stock: Investment D1 + P1 - P0
Rate of return = Capital gains + Dividend yield = P0
2. Expected rate of return: based on the probability of possible outcomes. Note: R: possible return p: probability of the return
3. Measuring Risk: (standard deviation)
Dạng 1: Đề không cho probability mà cho return theo các năm (có thể bấm máy): lOMoAR cPSD| 58562220
Dạng 2: Cho probability (tính tay):
Example: You have been given the following probability distribution for the return on XYZ stock State of econoy Probability Return Boom 0.35 0.3 20% 2 Recovery 0.35 10% Recession -10%
What is the return standard deviation of XYZ stock?
Expected return = 0.35×20% + 0.3×10% + 0.35×(-10%) = 6.5%
Variance = 0.35×(0.2-0.065)2 + 0.3×(0.1-0.065)2 + 0.35×(-0.1- 0.065)2 = 0.016275
Standard deviation = √2 0.016275 = 12.76% 𝜎
Coeffcient of variation (CV): measure of the risk per unit of return CV =
So sánh các assets với nhau để xem nên invest vào asset nào r
• r bằng nhau, σ khác nhau: chọn lower σ (less risk)
• r khác nhau, σ bằng nhau: chọn higher r
• r khác nhau, σ khác nhau: tính CV  chọn lower CV (less risk per unit) 4. Portfolio
- The risk-return trade-off for a portfolio is measured by the portfolio expected
return and standard deviation.
- Portfolio weights: the proportion of the total investment in the portfolio invested in each asset. lOMoAR cPSD| 58562220 Example: State of econoy Probability Stock A Stock B Boom 0.4 20% 15% Recovery 0.3 10% 10% Recession 0.3 -10% 5%
What are the expected return and standard deviation for a portfolio with an investment of
$8,000 in stock A and $2,000 in stock B? & 5. Diversification:
Systematic Risk (market risk or non-diversifiable risk):
 affect overall market and can not avoid
Mesure by Beta β độ risky của portfolio β < 1: less
market risk than the market (less-sensitve) β > 1: more
market risk than the market (more sensitve) β = 1:
market risk equal the market (market portfolio) β = 0:
no risk – risk free (How about β = -1?)
Unsystematic Risk (specific risk or diversifiable risk):
 affect only that company and can avoid
6. CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model) Ri = RF + β(RM -RF) Note:
+ Ri: expected return on a security + RF: risk free + RM -RF: market risk premium lOMoAR cPSD| 58562220 + RM: market risk
Lưu ý: trong 1 portfolio tổng weight của 1 assets luôn bằng 1
RM=E(Rp) expected return on the market portfolio
Chap 8: Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
1. Capital Struture and Cost of Capital:
• The mix of long-term debt and equity securities
• Leverage: the amount of debt used to finance a firm’s assets
• The return to an investor is the same as the cost to the company. 2. WACC
Capital Structure Market Value Cost of Equity Common stock Current price x Devidend growth model: number of stock 𝑫𝟏 outstanding + Re = + g 𝑷𝟎 + D1 = D0*(1+g)
CAPM: Ri = RF + β(RM -RF) Preferred stock Current price x 𝑫 number of stock R = outstanding 𝑷𝟎 Total fund Number outstanding = Par value Debt Bond
Market price x number Rb = YTM of bond outstanding
Selling at par: Rb = YTM= Coupon rate Bank Loan Book value Current interest rate on loan 𝑫 𝑬
WACC = x Rd x (1-T) + x Re 𝑽 𝑽 lOMoAR cPSD| 58562220 Note:
• E, D: Market value of Equity and Debt
• 𝑽 = 𝑬 + 𝑫 : Total market value of the firm
• 𝑅D, 𝑅E : Cost of Debt, Cost of Equity D E • Weights: WD = , WE = V V